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Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sentinel Metals Ltd stock A$0.04, price A$0.30, that is 85.8% below the price, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000421307

SM Sentinel Metals Ltd logo Thin data Nov 3, 2026

Sentinel Metals Ltd

SNM · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 86% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +66% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +2824.5 %/yr in CAD)
Fair value A$0.0425 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 29/100
Trails peers (1/6)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.7700 A$0.2400 Fair Value A$0.0425 Oct 2025 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

12‑month range A$0.2400 – A$0.7700 · fair‑value band A$0.0255 – A$0.0510 · the A$0.3000 price screens above the A$0.0425 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Sentinel Metals Limited, a mineral exploration company, engages in the exploration and development of gold resources in the United States. The company's flagship property is the Columbia Gold and silver Project covering an area of approximately 1,260 hectares located in central west Montana.

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Sentinel Metals Limited was incorporated in 2024 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Stock analysis

Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM) currently trades at A$0.3000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0425, 86% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0255 (bear) to A$0.0510 (bull), the price of A$0.3000 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Sentinel Metals Ltd reported revenue of C$40.7K in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2023. Reported net income was −C$1.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$41.8M (≈ $28.8M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Return on equity −44.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.7% (3-year average) · Operating margin −3,068% · Revenue (TTM) C$15.8K · Revenue growth (YoY) +65.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −86%, SNM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0255 Fair Value A$0.0425 Bull A$0.0510
Price A$0.3000 · Downside -85.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 7
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 20
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 14
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 26/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

SNM screens overvalued: fair value 86% below the price. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 206 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −85.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −12.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 65.5% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.37× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 44
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $191.57 $220.07 +15% vs SNM
Newmont Corporation NEM $120.91 $133.00 +10% vs SNM
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $92.99 $88.58 −5% vs SNM
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $265.81 $248.53 −7% vs SNM
Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 ¥26.72 ¥23.61 −12% vs SNM
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $254.95 $212.28 −17% vs SNM
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.24 $18.00 −19% vs SNM
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$25.85 A$16.87 −35% vs SNM
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $136.31 $87.64 −36% vs SNM
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.41 ¥15.62 −45% vs SNM

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Sentinel Metals Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sentinel Metals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SNM

Frequently asked questions

Is Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0425 versus a price of A$0.3000, about 86% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SNM?
Our model-based fair value for Sentinel Metals Ltd is A$0.0425 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.3000.
What is the quality score of SNM?
Sentinel Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0425 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0510. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sentinel Metals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0425, about 86% lower versus a price of A$0.3000 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0510. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
Sentinel Metals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$15.8K (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sentinel Metals Ltd it is A$0.0425 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of A$0.3000. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Sentinel Metals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, SNM trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.3000, fair value A$0.0425, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SNM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.3000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0425). For Sentinel Metals Ltd the two are A$0.2575 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sentinel Metals Ltd worth?
The market values Sentinel Metals Ltd at about A$41.8M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is A$0.3000; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0425 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SNM?
Our models span a range for Sentinel Metals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0255, base A$0.0425, optimistic A$0.0510 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price A$0.3000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sentinel Metals Ltd (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −44.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SNM from its 52-week high?
Sentinel Metals Ltd trades at A$0.3000, about 61% below its 52-week high of A$0.7700 and 25% above the low of A$0.2400 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0425 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sentinel Metals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sentinel Metals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price A$0.3000, calculated fair value A$0.0425 (−86%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SNM calculated?
We run Sentinel Metals Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0425 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Sentinel Metals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.3000. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0425, about 86% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sentinel Metals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0510). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0255 to A$0.0510) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Sentinel Metals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
The market capitalisation of Sentinel Metals Ltd is A$41.8M (≈ $28.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
Earnings per share at Sentinel Metals Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sentinel Metals Ltd is −44.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sentinel Metals Ltd is −5.7% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
The operating margin of Sentinel Metals Ltd is −3,068% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
Revenue at Sentinel Metals Ltd is growing +65.5% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
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