Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd stock $11.34, price $21.06, that is 46.2% below the price, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
TAK · USOur calculation puts a fair price 46% below what the stock costs today.
Risks from the AI analysis
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.51 – $21.06 · fair‑value band $6.20 – $11.54 · the $21.06 price screens above the $11.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
Every Wednesday you see whether Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Company profile
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited engages in the research, development, manufacture, marketing, and out-licensing of pharmaceutical products. It offers pharmaceutical products in the areas of gastroenterology, rare diseases, plasma-derived therapies, oncology, vaccines, and neuroscience.
Show moreShow less
The company provides its products under the Entyvio, Gattex/Revestive, Takecab/Vocinti, EOHILIA, Takhzyro, Advate, Elaprase, Replagal, Vpriv, Adynovate/Adynovi, Livtencity, ADZYNMA, Gammagard Liquid/Kiovig, Hyqvia, Cuvitru, Flexbumin, Adcetris, Leuplin/Enantone, Ninlaro, Iclusig, FRUZAQLA, Alunbrig, vyvanse/elvanse, Trintellix, and QDENGA brands.
It has licensing and collaboration for the development and commercialization of products with Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Cour Pharmaceuticals, Engitix, Halozyme, Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Ucsd/Fortis Advisors, Zedira/Dr. Falk Pharma, Ac Immune, Acurastem, Anima Biotech, Biomarin, Denali Therapeutics, Luxna Biotech, Neurocrine Biosciences, Peptidream, Abbvie, Adimab, Ascentage Pharma, Crescendo Biologics, Exelixis, F-Star, Gsk, Heidelberg Pharma, Innovent Biologics, Keros Therapeutics, Kumquat Biosciences, Protagonist Therapeutics, Halozyme, Kamada, Johnson & Johnson/Momenta Pharmaceuticals, Previpharma, Novavax, Bridgene Biosciences, Charles River Laboratories, Iambic Therapeutics, Ipsen, Km Biologics, Massachusetts Institute Of Technology, and Nabla Bio. The company operates in Japan, the United States.
Europe, Canada, Latin America, China, Asia, Russia/Commonwealth of Independent States, the Middle East, Oceania, and Africa. The company was founded in 1781 and is headquartered in Chuo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK) currently trades at $21.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.34, 46% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $17.27 per share, and 6 of the 24 models we run sit above the $21.06 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $2.96, and 18 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $6.20 (bear) to $11.54 (bull), the price of $21.06 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR reported revenue of ¥4.8T in FY2026 versus ¥3.6T in FY2022, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥203B in FY2026, compounding −3.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $67.5B Large · EPS (TTM) $−0.3400 · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 4.3% · Return on equity −2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% · Operating margin 16.5% · Revenue (TTM) ¥4.6T.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −46%, TAK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
TAK screens overvalued: fair value 46% below the price. Compare with Merck KGaA →
Recent news
- Takeda H1 profit rises on cost savings, currency gains; hikes FY outlook
- Takeda Pharmaceutical Non-GAAP EPS of ¥308.00, revenue of ¥2407B; upgrades FY 2026 outlook
Compare Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 554 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Health Care sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- EV/EBITDA by industry
- Dividend yield by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoetis Inc ZTS | $89.20 | $110.26 | +24% | vs TAK |
| Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group 3692 | HK$35.18 | HK$37.53 | +7% | vs TAK |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,829 | ₹1,947 | +6% | vs TAK |
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥50.19 | ¥53.31 | +6% | vs TAK |
| Haleon plc HLN | $9.23 | $8.59 | −7% | vs TAK |
| Merck KGaA MRK | €150.35 | €109.18 | −27% | vs TAK |
| Galderma Group GALD | CHF 195.15 | CHF 109.26 | −44% | vs TAK |
| Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA | $41.85 | $20.75 | −50% | vs TAK |
| Sandoz Group SDZ | CHF 83.62 | CHF 39.70 | −53% | vs TAK |
| Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB | ₹10,141 | ₹1,567 | −85% | vs TAK |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Healthcare stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of TAK?
What is the quality score of TAK?
What is the price target for Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
What is the Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
What is the revenue of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
Does Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
What growth is priced into Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TAK use?
What is a reverse DCF?
How much growth has Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK) delivered so far?
How fast is the sector of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK) growing?
What is the free cash flow yield of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
What is the intrinsic value of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
Is Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
Is fair value the same as the market price of TAK?
How much is Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR worth?
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TAK?
What is the PEG ratio of TAK?
How solid is the balance sheet of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
How far is TAK from its 52-week high?
Which stocks are comparable to Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR?
Is Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
How is the fair value of TAK calculated?
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
What is the share price of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
What should I pay attention to with Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR right now?
Where does the earnings growth of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK) come from?
Key figures of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
What are the earnings per share of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
What is the dividend yield of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
What is the net margin of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
What is the return on equity of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
What is the EBIT return on assets of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
What is the operating margin of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
How fast is revenue growing at Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
How fast are earnings growing at Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK)?
How much net debt does Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK) carry?
Watch Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR in the live analysis
One click puts Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.