China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Baoan Group Co Ltd stock ¥2.38, price ¥6.68, that is 64.4% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 8 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.98 – ¥28.45 · fair‑value band ¥1.24 – ¥2.72 · the ¥6.68 price screens above the ¥2.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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China Baoan Group Co., Ltd. produces and sells lithium-ion battery negative electrode materials.
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It offers electric vehicle AC and DC charging connectors, precision metal parts, automotive core components, precision hydraulic components, consumer electronics parts, CNC machine tools, and industrial robots.
The company is also involved in pharmaceutical production and sales; hospital medical services, and organic agriculture; production and sale of technical pesticides, biological pesticides, biological fertilizers, microbial agents, biological feeds, Chinese and western medicines, and other products; organic agriculture and other fields; and providing hospital diagnosis and treatment services.
In addition, it engages in real estate development business, investment and financing, mining and mineral resource mining, and other fields, as well as development of tourism resource and resort, and operating project investments, property management, warehousing and logistics, and other industries.
The company was founded in 1983 and is based in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009) currently trades at ¥6.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.38, 64% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥7.70 per share, and 1 of the 8 models we run sit above the ¥6.68 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.7600, and 7 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.24 (bear) to ¥2.72 (bull), the price of ¥6.68 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2008: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2008.
China Baoan Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 23.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 17.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was 203M CNY in FY2025, compounding −33.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 17.2B CNY (≈ $2.6B) Mid · P/S ratio 0.66 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0300 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin −0.3% · Return on equity 4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 6.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −64%, 000009 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.7000 to ¥13.74). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥1.24Fair Value ¥2.38Bull¥2.72
Price ¥6.68 · Downside -64.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2008: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2008.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.8% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+11.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Per share before 2008divided by the spin-off factor 1.2872
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−21.0% vs −4.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 11%
Compare China Baoan Group Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 305 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Below median
Fair Value upside−64.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.6% · Below median
Return on assets2.4% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−1.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)6.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)26.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.40× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.72× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)4.48× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA46.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)18· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)30· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 46
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Baoan Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000009
Frequently asked questions
Is China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.38 versus a price of ¥6.68, about 64% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000009?
Our model-based fair value for China Baoan Group Co Ltd is ¥2.38 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.68.
What is the quality score of 000009?
China Baoan Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.38 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.24, optimistic scenario ¥2.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Baoan Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.38, about 64% lower versus a price of ¥6.68 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.24, optimistic scenario ¥2.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
China Baoan Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does China Baoan Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
China Baoan Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.45% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009) and when is the ex-dividend date?
China Baoan Group Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.03 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 27, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2013. The payout ratio is 38.1% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.4% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.4% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Baoan Group Co Ltd it is ¥2.38 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥6.68. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is China Baoan Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 000009 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.68, fair value ¥2.38, a gap of about −64% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000009?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.38). For China Baoan Group Co Ltd the two are ¥4.30 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Baoan Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values China Baoan Group Co Ltd at about 17.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.68; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000009?
Our models span a range for China Baoan Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.24, base ¥2.38, optimistic ¥2.72 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥6.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Baoan Group Co Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 4.6%, debt of 1.40 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000009 from its 52-week high?
China Baoan Group Co Ltd trades at ¥6.68, about 41% below its 52-week high of ¥11.38 and 12% above the low of ¥5.98 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.38 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Baoan Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, Swire Pacific Limited, SGH Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Baoan Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥6.68, calculated fair value ¥2.38 (−64%), Quality Score 46/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000009 calculated?
We run China Baoan Group Co Ltd through 8 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥2.38 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. China Baoan Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥6.68. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.38, about 64% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Baoan Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (46/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥1.24 to ¥2.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009) come from?
Earnings per share at China Baoan Group Co Ltd grew +4.6 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +22.1 %, EBIT margin −7.5 %, tax rate −2.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −5.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of China Baoan Group Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
The market capitalisation of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is 17.2B CNY (≈ $2.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is 0.66 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
Earnings per share at China Baoan Group Co Ltd are ¥−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
The dividend yield of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
The net margin of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is −0.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
The operating margin of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
Revenue at China Baoan Group Co Ltd is growing +26.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
Earnings per share at China Baoan Group Co Ltd are growing −89.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009) generate?
The free cash flow of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is −1.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009) carry?
The net debt of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is 8.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 7, 2026