China Baoan Group (000009) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 18.0B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 83% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.05 – ¥28.57 · fair‑value band ¥1.00 – ¥1.67 · the ¥8.10 price screens above the ¥1.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

China Baoan Group (000009) currently trades at ¥8.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.34, implying the stock looks roughly 83.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, China Baoan Group generated revenue of 24.0B CNY at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 19.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. Net debt stands at 8.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.00 (bear case) to ¥1.67 (bull case); at ¥8.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -83%, 000009 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥2.60) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.15). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

China Baoan Group Co., Ltd. produces and sells lithium-ion battery negative electrode materials. It offers electric vehicle AC and DC charging connectors, precision metal parts, automotive core components, precision hydraulic components, consumer electronics parts, CNC machine tools, and industrial robots.

Full company description

China Baoan Group Co., Ltd. produces and sells lithium-ion battery negative electrode materials. It offers electric vehicle AC and DC charging connectors, precision metal parts, automotive core components, precision hydraulic components, consumer electronics parts, CNC machine tools, and industrial robots. The company is also involved in pharmaceutical production and sales; hospital medical services, and organic agriculture; production and sale of technical pesticides, biological pesticides, biological fertilizers, microbial agents, biological feeds, Chinese and western medicines, and other products; organic agriculture and other fields; and providing hospital diagnosis and treatment services. In addition, it engages in real estate development business, investment and financing, mining and mineral resource mining, and other fields, as well as development of tourism resource and resort, and operating project investments, property management, warehousing and logistics, and other industries. The company was founded in 1983 and is based in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Baoan Group reported revenue of ¥23.0B in FY2025 versus ¥17.6B in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥203M in FY2025, compounding −33.5%/yr from FY2021.

000009 screens 83% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.