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China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of China Baoan Group Co Ltd ¥2.58, price ¥7.04, upside -63.4%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE000000222

CB Some data Sep 24, 2026

China Baoan Group Co Ltd

000009 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥2.58 · Strongly overvalued (−63%)
!Quality 44/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +16.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.2% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·0.43% dividend yield
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 21 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 9 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥28.57 ¥6.00 Fair Value ¥2.58 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.00 – ¥28.57 · fair‑value band ¥1.24 – ¥2.58 · the ¥7.04 price screens above the ¥2.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

China Baoan Group Co., Ltd. produces and sells lithium-ion battery negative electrode materials. It offers electric vehicle AC and DC charging connectors, precision metal parts, automotive core components, precision hydraulic components, consumer electronics parts, CNC machine tools, and industrial robots.

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China Baoan Group Co., Ltd. produces and sells lithium-ion battery negative electrode materials. It offers electric vehicle AC and DC charging connectors, precision metal parts, automotive core components, precision hydraulic components, consumer electronics parts, CNC machine tools, and industrial robots. The company is also involved in pharmaceutical production and sales; hospital medical services, and organic agriculture; production and sale of technical pesticides, biological pesticides, biological fertilizers, microbial agents, biological feeds, Chinese and western medicines, and other products; organic agriculture and other fields; and providing hospital diagnosis and treatment services. In addition, it engages in real estate development business, investment and financing, mining and mineral resource mining, and other fields, as well as development of tourism resource and resort, and operating project investments, property management, warehousing and logistics, and other industries. The company was founded in 1983 and is based in Shenzhen, China.

Stock analysis

China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009) currently trades at ¥7.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.58, implying the stock looks roughly 172.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥2.60 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥7.04 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.15, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥1.24 (bear) to ¥2.58 (bull), the price of ¥7.04 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

China Baoan Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 23.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 17.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was 203M CNY in FY2025, compounding −33.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 20.9B CNY (≈ $3.1B) · P/E ratio 352.0 · P/S ratio 3.10 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0200 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 0.9% · Return on equity 5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at −63%, 000009 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.24 Fair Value ¥2.58 Bull ¥2.58
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥2.73 ¥2.59 ¥2.04 74
P/E Multiple ¥1.24 ¥1.65 ¥2.07 63
Graham-Dodd ¥0.5400 ¥2.90 ¥4.03 61
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.5400 ¥2.90 ¥4.03 61
Lynch FV ¥0.8100 ¥1.15 ¥1.50 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.24 ¥1.65 ¥2.07 63
P/B Multiple ¥1.00 ¥1.34 ¥1.67 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.94 ¥2.60 ¥3.88 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.73 ¥2.59 ¥2.04 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.8% a year
Revenue growth 35 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+11.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−21% vs −4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 11%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

000009 screens 173% overvalued. Compare with 3M Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 380 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 20% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.40× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 352.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.09× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.87× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)99 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)21 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)30 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)9 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 $57.30 $79.11 +38%
SGH Limited SGH A$36.69 A$42.47 +16%
Kingdom Holding 4280 13.07 SAR 12.96 SAR −1%

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¥2.58 −173%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Baoan Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000009

Frequently asked questions

Is China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.58 versus a price of ¥7.04, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000009?
Our model-based fair value for China Baoan Group Co Ltd is ¥2.58 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.04.
What is the quality score of 000009?
China Baoan Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.58 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.24, optimistic scenario ¥2.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Baoan Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.58, about −63% upside versus a price of ¥7.04 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.24, optimistic scenario ¥2.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
China Baoan Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 24.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does China Baoan Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
China Baoan Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.43% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Baoan Group Co Ltd it is ¥2.58 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥7.04. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Baoan Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 000009 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥7.04, fair value ¥2.58, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000009?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.58). For China Baoan Group Co Ltd the two are ¥4.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Baoan Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values China Baoan Group Co Ltd at about 20.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.04; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.58 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000009?
Our models span a range for China Baoan Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.24, base ¥2.58, optimistic ¥2.58 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥7.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 000009?
China Baoan Group Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 352.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.58 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Baoan Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.3%, debt of 1.40 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000009 from its 52-week high?
China Baoan Group Co Ltd trades at ¥7.04, about 43% below its 52-week high of ¥12.46 and 17% above the low of ¥6.00 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.58 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Baoan Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Poste Italiane S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Baoan Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥7.04, calculated fair value ¥2.58 (−63%), Quality Score 44/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000009 calculated?
We run China Baoan Group Co Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.58, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. China Baoan Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥7.04. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.58, about −63% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Baoan Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥1.24 to ¥2.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009) come from?
Earnings per share at China Baoan Group Co Ltd grew +4.6 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +22.1 %, EBIT margin −7.5 %, tax rate −2.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −5.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Baoan Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
The market capitalisation of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is 20.9B CNY (≈ $3.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is 3.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
Earnings per share at China Baoan Group Co Ltd are ¥0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 352.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
The dividend yield of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is 0.4% (payout 150%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
The net margin of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is 0.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
The operating margin of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
Revenue at China Baoan Group Co Ltd is growing +19.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009)?
Earnings per share at China Baoan Group Co Ltd are growing −89.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009) generate?
The free cash flow of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is −1.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009) carry?
The net debt of China Baoan Group Co Ltd is 8.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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