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Shenzhen Cereals Holdings (000019) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 7.5B CNY

SC Shenzhen Cereals Holdings 000019 · SHE
Price¥6.10
Fair Value¥5.54
Upside-9.2%
Quality61/100
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Evidence: High Range ¥3.58 – ¥7.50

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price −9.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

¥8.55 ¥5.84 Fair Value ¥5.54 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range ¥5.84 – ¥8.55 · fair‑value band ¥3.58 – ¥7.50 · the ¥6.10 price screens above the ¥5.54 fair value. As of Jun 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Cereals Holdings (000019) currently trades at ¥6.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.54 — implying the stock looks roughly 9.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Cereals Holdings generated revenue of 5.4B CNY at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue declined 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. Net debt stands at 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.5%
Net margin 4.0%
Return on equity 4.3%
Free cash flow 985M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 34.1
More key figures
Operating margin 8.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1900
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -28.9%
Net debt 1.1B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Shenzhen Cereals Holdings Co.,Ltd. engages in the wholesale and retail, food processing and manufacturing, and leasing and commerce service businesses in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company wholesales and retails rice, wheat, corn, sorghum, cooking oil, and other grains and oil, as well as sells fine tea, beverages, and condiments. It also processed and manufactures bread flour, and wheat flour; rice products; instant tea powder, and other tea deep-processed products; fresh extracts; oyster sauce and other sauces; rice, noodles; and coarse cereals, non-staple food, and condiments. In addition, the company offers warehousing and storage; logistics and distribution; quality inspection and information technology; property leasing and management; feed production; commercial trade; commercial operation management; catering; tea planting; port operation; e-commerce; and investment management services, as well as engages in the construction of food bases and …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Cereals Holdings reported revenue of ¥5.5B in FY2025 versus ¥10.1B in FY2021, a compound −14.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥243M in FY2025, compounding −13.2%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −14.2%/yr
FY21 ¥10.1B
FY22 ¥8.3B
FY23 ¥6.2B
FY24 ¥5.4B
FY25 ¥5.5B
Net income −13.2%/yr
FY21 ¥429M
FY22 ¥421M
FY23 ¥348M
FY24 ¥325M
FY25 ¥243M

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6 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 25, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Cereals Holdings (000019) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.54 versus a price of ¥6.10 — about −9% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 000019?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Cereals Holdings is ¥5.54 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.10.
What is the quality score of 000019?
Shenzhen Cereals Holdings has a Quality Score of 61/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Cereals Holdings (000019)?
Shenzhen Cereals Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jun 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000019?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Cereals Holdings is about 4.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shenzhen Cereals Holdings pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Cereals Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.82% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.