China Greatwall Computer Shenzhen Co Ltd (000066) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 54.3B CNY
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 21, 2026, revised from ¥1.07 to ¥7.19 (+572.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −6.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.52 – ¥25.36 · fair‑value band ¥7.19 – ¥11.03 · the ¥14.27 price screens above the ¥7.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
China Greatwall Computer Shenzhen Co Ltd (000066) currently trades at ¥14.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.19, implying the stock looks roughly 49.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Greatwall Computer Shenzhen Co Ltd generated revenue of 16.2B CNY at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue grew 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.6%. Net debt stands at 3.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.19 (bear case) to ¥11.03 (bull case); at ¥14.27, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at -50%, 000066 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥54.88) versus DCF Models (¥5.03). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Greatwall Technology Group Co., Ltd. engages in the computing industry, system equipment, and other businesses in China.
Full company description
China Greatwall Technology Group Co., Ltd. engages in the computing industry, system equipment, and other businesses in China. The company offers commercial PCs, such as notebook, desktop computer, and all-in-one PC; intelligent computing and storage, including general purpose server, AI-type server, storage server, and tower server; high-performance server CPUs, high-efficiency desktop CPUs, high-end embedded CPUs, and Phytium chipsets; and terminal components comprising power supply products. It also provides printing, smart outlets, mobile marketing, rural assistance funds, social security card issuance, non-financial self-help, and platform system products, as well as F6800 projector. In addition, the company offers network equipment which consists of information technology innovation, router, switch, unified communication, commercial, safety, network visualization, wireless, and software products; and industrial control terminal, monitor, and printer. Further, it provides distributed storage, cybersecurity email, high-performance data appliance, great wall digital archives, Netcom OA full-stack solution, Netcom backup solution, enterprise cloud storage solution, and integrated IT innovation solution; and solutions for finance, transportation, public safety, energy, education, and other industries. The company was formerly known as China Great Wall Computer Shenzhen Co., Ltd. and changed its name to China Greatwall Technology Group Co., Ltd. in March 2017. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Shenzhen, China. China Greatwall Technology Group Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of China Electronics Corporation.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Greatwall Computer Shenzhen Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥15.8B in FY2025 versus ¥17.8B in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was −¥55.7M in FY2025.
000066 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Dell Technologies Inc →
Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 226 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $484.50 | $187.75 | -61% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $210.50 | $57.72 | -73% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $454.10 | $90.94 | -80% |
| Hygon Information Technology Co 688041 | ¥287.66 | ¥30.66 | -89% |
| Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 | ¥36.47 | ¥40.44 | +11% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥414.30 | ¥91.67 | -78% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$30.12 | HK$33.70 | +12% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥86.42 | ¥39.38 | -54% |
| Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co 000977 | ¥75.02 | ¥44.02 | -41% |
| Lite-On Technology Corporation 2301 | 269.50 TWD | 121.96 TWD | -55% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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