Hygon Information Technology Co (688041) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 773B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥21.90 to ¥30.66 (+40.0%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −16.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥38.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥20.59 to ¥38.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range ¥37.65 – ¥370.30 · fair‑value band ¥20.59 – ¥38.32 · the ¥286.00 price screens above the ¥30.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Hygon Information Technology Co (688041) currently trades at ¥286.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥30.66, implying the stock looks roughly 89.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hygon Information Technology Co generated revenue of 16.0B CNY at a net margin of 17.0%. Revenue grew 68.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.0%. Net debt stands at 559M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥20.59 (bear case) to ¥38.32 (bull case); at ¥286.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 117% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -89%, 688041 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥55.34) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hygon Information Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development of processors, accelerators, and other computing chip products and systems in China. It offers high-performance processors for data centers; mid-range processors for industry customers; and other processors for various scenarios, as well as high-performance domestic processors.
Full company description
Hygon Information Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development of processors, accelerators, and other computing chip products and systems in China. It offers high-performance processors for data centers; mid-range processors for industry customers; and other processors for various scenarios, as well as high-performance domestic processors. The company's products are used in various applications, including commercial workstations, artificial intelligence, cloud computing, cloud storage, data center, scientific computing, industrial computing, and safety. Hygon Information Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2014 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hygon Information Technology Co reported revenue of ¥14.4B in FY2025 versus ¥2.3B in FY2021, a compound +57.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.5B in FY2025, compounding +67.0%/yr from FY2021.
688041 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Dell Technologies Inc →
Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 224 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $484.50 | $187.75 | -61% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $210.50 | $57.72 | -73% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $454.10 | $90.94 | -80% |
| Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 | ¥36.47 | ¥40.44 | +11% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥414.30 | ¥91.67 | -78% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$29.04 | HK$4.30 | -85% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥86.42 | ¥39.38 | -54% |
| Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co 000977 | ¥75.02 | ¥44.02 | -41% |
| Lite-On Technology Corporation 2301 | 269.50 TWD | 121.96 TWD | -55% |
| Advantech Co 2395 | 686.00 TWD | 265.18 TWD | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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