Green Development Electricity Group (000537) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 17.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +5.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 12% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ¥4.97 (bear) to ¥8.28 (bull), base ¥6.62. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 33/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.09 – ¥26.51 · fair‑value band ¥4.97 – ¥8.28 · the ¥7.56 price screens above the ¥6.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Green Development Electricity Group (000537) currently trades at ¥7.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.62, implying the stock looks roughly 12.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Green Development Electricity Group generated revenue of 5.0B CNY at a net margin of 12.6%. Revenue grew 14.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at 50.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.97 (bear case) to ¥8.28 (bull case); at ¥7.56, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -12%, 000537 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (¥7.13) versus Asset-Based (¥6.47). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Green Development Electricity Group of Tianjin Co., Ltd. engages in the investment, development, and operation of wind and solar energy in China. It is involved in development and construction of onshore and offshore wind power, photovoltaic power generation, and concentrated solar power.
Full company description
Green Development Electricity Group of Tianjin Co., Ltd. engages in the investment, development, and operation of wind and solar energy in China. It is involved in development and construction of onshore and offshore wind power, photovoltaic power generation, and concentrated solar power. The company was formerly known as China Green Electricity Investment of Tianjin Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Green Development Electricity Group of Tianjin Co., Ltd. in December 2025. Green Development Electricity Group of Tianjin Co., Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is based in Beijing, China. Green Development Electricity Group of Tianjin Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Luneng Group Co.,Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Green Development Electricity Group reported revenue of ¥4.9B in FY2025 versus ¥19.6B in FY2021, a compound −29.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥801M in FY2025.
000537 screens 12% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.99 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 149.70 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.81 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,537 | ₹170.50 | -89% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.65 | -10% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €58.65 | €66.19 | +13% |
| BEP BEP | $32.33 | $73.35 | +127% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.89 | €13.90 | -30% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥16.21 | ¥8.23 | -49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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