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Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd ¥1.66, price ¥2.52, upside -34.1%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · CN · ISIN CNE000000D40

GJ Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd

000552 · SHE

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value ¥1.66 · Overvalued (−34%)
!Quality 27/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +16.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.3% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥4.47 ¥2.18 Fair Value ¥1.66 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.18 – ¥4.47 · fair‑value band ¥0.9400 – ¥2.40 · the ¥2.52 price screens above the ¥1.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Gansu Energy Chemical Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the coal mining business in China. The company operates through Coal Sector, Power Sector, Engineering Sector, and Chemical Sector segments. It offers coking coal and thermal coal.

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Gansu Energy Chemical Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the coal mining business in China. The company operates through Coal Sector, Power Sector, Engineering Sector, and Chemical Sector segments. It offers coking coal and thermal coal. The company is also involved in the thermal power generation; electricity; heat and steam supply; construction; wholesale; manufacture of nitrogen and fertilizers, and machinery; engineering design and consulting; mining safety product testing; shale oil production; and coal washing activities. The company was formerly known as Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry & Electricity Power Co., Ltd and changed its name to Gansu Energy Chemical Co., Ltd. in April 2023. Gansu Energy Chemical Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is based in Lanzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552) currently trades at ¥2.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.66, implying the stock looks roughly 51.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: ¥0.9400 (bear) to ¥2.40 (bull), the price of ¥2.52 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd reported revenue of 7.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 10.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.0%/yr. Reported net income was −211M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 13.5B CNY (≈ $2.0B) · P/S ratio 1.65 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0400 · Net margin −2.7% · Return on equity −1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9% · Operating margin 4.8% · Revenue (TTM) 8.4B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −34%, 000552 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.9400 Fair Value ¥1.66 Bull ¥2.40
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA ¥0.5100 ¥0.8700 ¥1.24 65
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.53 ¥2.05 ¥3.07 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥0.5100 ¥0.8700 ¥1.24 65
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.53 ¥2.05 ¥3.07 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.5% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
14.4% (2020) → −3.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

000552 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Thermal Coal · 101 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −34% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.51× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.12× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.24× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.1× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 4
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)74 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 ¥47.51 ¥32.88 −31%
PT Bayan Resources Tbk., BYAN 11,850 IDR 4,827 IDR −59%
Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT ₹2,997 ₹891.11 −70%
Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 ¥26.03 ¥28.63 +10%
Yankuang Energy Group 600188 ¥20.35 ¥13.05 −36%
Coal India Limited COALINDIA ₹428.00 ₹464.01 +8%
China Coal Energy Company 601898 ¥14.23 ¥14.62 +3%
PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk, DSSA 980.00 IDR 356.60 IDR −64%
Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 ¥28.24 ¥20.48 −27%
Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 ¥15.75 ¥9.97 −37%

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¥1.66 −52%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000552

Frequently asked questions

Is Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.66 versus a price of ¥2.52, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000552?
Our model-based fair value for Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd is ¥1.66 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥2.52.
What is the quality score of 000552?
Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.66 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.9400, optimistic scenario ¥2.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.66, about −34% upside versus a price of ¥2.52 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.9400, optimistic scenario ¥2.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552)?
Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd it is ¥1.66 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥2.52. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 000552 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥2.52, fair value ¥1.66, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000552?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥2.52); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.66). For Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd the two are ¥0.8600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd worth?
The market values Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd at about 13.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥2.52; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000552?
Our models span a range for Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.9400, base ¥1.66, optimistic ¥2.40 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥2.52). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.1%, debt of 0.51 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000552 from its 52-week high?
Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd trades at ¥2.52, about 14% below its 52-week high of ¥2.93 and 13% above the low of ¥2.24 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value China Shenhua Energy Company, PT Bayan Resources Tbk.,, Adani Enterprises Limited, Shaanxi Coal Industry Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥2.52, calculated fair value ¥1.66 (−34%), Quality Score 27/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000552 calculated?
We run Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥2.52. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.66, about −34% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥0.9400 to ¥2.40) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552) come from?
Earnings per share at Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd grew +8.5 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.0 %, EBIT margin +8.2 %, tax rate −0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552)?
The market capitalisation of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd is 13.5B CNY (≈ $2.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd is 1.65 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552)?
Earnings per share at Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd are ¥−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552)?
The net margin of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd is −2.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd is −1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd is 6.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552)?
The operating margin of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552)?
Revenue at Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd is growing +27.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552) generate?
The free cash flow of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd is −4.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd (000552) carry?
The net debt of Gansu Jingyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co Ltd is 3.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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