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Northeast Pharmaceutical Group (000597) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 6.6B CNY

NP Northeast Pharmaceutical Group 000597 · SHE
Price¥4.74
Fair Value¥4.01
Upside-15.4%
Quality60/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.20% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: High Range ¥3.01 – ¥5.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥6.57 to ¥4.01 (−39.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +6.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from ¥3.01 (bear) to ¥5.01 (bull), base ¥4.01. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 60/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥8.38 ¥3.72 Fair Value ¥4.01 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.72 – ¥8.38 · fair‑value band ¥3.01 – ¥5.01 · the ¥4.74 price screens above the ¥4.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Northeast Pharmaceutical Group (000597) currently trades at ¥4.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.01, implying the stock looks roughly 15.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Northeast Pharmaceutical Group generated revenue of 7.1B CNY at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue grew 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.01 (bear case) to ¥5.01 (bull case); at ¥4.74, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -15%, 000597 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥10.20 ¥13.83 ¥18.86 80
Residual Income ¥2.90 ¥2.90 ¥2.67 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.13 ¥9.27 ¥11.80 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥10.11 ¥14.26 ¥20.40 38
Owner Earnings ¥7.79 ¥10.69 ¥14.98 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥7.13 ¥9.18 ¥11.72 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.55 ¥13.75 ¥18.62 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥6.90 ¥8.75 ¥10.65 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥8.07 ¥10.20 ¥12.92 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.68 ¥13.31 ¥18.10 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥8.02 ¥9.91 ¥12.11 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.24 ¥3.99 ¥5.32 54
Lynch FV ¥0.8900 ¥1.26 ¥1.64 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.8900 ¥1.26 ¥1.64 46
EPV ¥4.51 ¥4.84 ¥5.12 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.01 ¥4.01 ¥5.01 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.32 ¥3.10 ¥3.87 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.32 ¥3.10 ¥3.87 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.87 ¥8.36 ¥9.84 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.08 ¥12.63 ¥15.18 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.60 ¥6.96 ¥8.32 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.94 ¥2.60 ¥3.88 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥10.20 ¥13.83 ¥18.86 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.13 ¥9.27 ¥11.80 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.90 ¥2.90 ¥2.67 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.63 ¥5.21 ¥5.90 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.50 ¥3.58 ¥4.65 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥10.20) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.26). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.0%
Net margin 3.5%
Return on equity 3.5%
Free cash flow 1.0B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 27.1
More key figures
Operating margin 4.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1700
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -24.0%
Net cash 2.9B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Northeast Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. engages in chemical pharmaceuticals manufacturing, pharmaceutical distribution, pharmaceutical engineering, biopharmaceuticals, and other businesses in China.

Full company description

Northeast Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. engages in chemical pharmaceuticals manufacturing, pharmaceutical distribution, pharmaceutical engineering, biopharmaceuticals, and other businesses in China. It offers vitamin products, such as vitamin C, vitamin B1, vitamin B6, and L-carnitine series; anti- infective products, such as fosfomycin series, azithromycin series, amantadine series, polyalkali hydrochloride, chloramphenicol, and other products; and reproductive system and hormone products comprising carboprost suppositories, carboprost tromethamine, dapoxetine hydrochloride, and levonorgestrel and tadalafil tablets. It also provides nervous system products, such as piracetam series, levetiracetam series, vinpocetine, and other products; narcotics and psychotropic drugs and related products, including morphine hydrochloride injections and tablets, oxycodone hydrochloride injection, compound glycyrrhiza series, and acetaminophen-codeine tablets; anti-AIDS products comprising Krughar /zidovudine tablets and capsules, efavirenz tablets, and other products; and in vitro biological diagnostic reagent products for HIV, HBV, HCV, HPV, and TB. In addition, it offers general health products, including glucosamine sulfate chondroitin collagen D3 calcium capsules, protein powder, probiotic powder, effervescent tablets, chewable tablets, solid drinks, and other products. Further, it provides Enterogermina, magnesium aluminum carbonate chewable tablets; compound proglutamine-cimetidine tablets; acetaminophen tablets; pain relievers, phenacetin, pregabalin, noscapine syrup, and citrate table; and other products, as well as cell therapy products. Additionally, it engages in medical distribution business. The company was founded in 1946 and is based in Shenyang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Northeast Pharmaceutical Group reported revenue of ¥7.1B in FY2025 versus ¥8.1B in FY2021, a compound −3.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥260M in FY2025, compounding +27.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.1B CNY
Latest YoY
−5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+6.3%
Revenue −3.5%/yr
FY21 ¥8.1B
FY22 ¥8.8B
FY23 ¥8.2B
FY24 ¥7.5B
FY25 ¥7.1B
Net income +27.3%/yr
FY21 ¥99.0M
FY22 ¥350M
FY23 ¥358M
FY24 ¥410M
FY25 ¥260M

000597 screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Northeast Pharmaceutical Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000597

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −15% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.19× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.92× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 13 · sector 7
FUTURE 15 · sector 20
PAST 14 · sector 23
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 24 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Northeast Pharmaceutical Group (000597) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.01 versus a price of ¥4.74, about −15% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000597?
Our model-based fair value for Northeast Pharmaceutical Group is ¥4.01 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.74.
What is the quality score of 000597?
Northeast Pharmaceutical Group has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Northeast Pharmaceutical Group (000597)?
Northeast Pharmaceutical Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000597?
The net profit margin of Northeast Pharmaceutical Group is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Northeast Pharmaceutical Group pay a dividend?
Northeast Pharmaceutical Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.20% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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