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Shengda Resources Co (000603) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 21.2B CNY

SR Shengda Resources Co 000603 · SHE
Price¥34.43
Fair Value¥13.12
Upside-61.9%
Quality65/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 24.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.41% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Wide moat 74/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥9.84 – ¥17.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +54.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 62% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥17.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥67.51 ¥7.27 Fair Value ¥13.12 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.27 – ¥67.51 · fair‑value band ¥9.84 – ¥17.36 · the ¥34.43 price screens above the ¥13.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Shengda Resources Co (000603) currently trades at ¥34.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.12, implying the stock looks roughly 61.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shengda Resources Co generated revenue of 2.5B CNY at a net margin of 24.2%. Revenue grew 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.1%. Net debt stands at 642M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.84 (bear case) to ¥17.36 (bull case); at ¥34.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 139% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -62%, 000603 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥4.19 ¥7.99 ¥14.21 80
Residual Income ¥5.14 ¥6.84 ¥20.61 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.94 ¥8.85 ¥17.03 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.43 ¥6.79 ¥14.27 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.80 ¥3.68 ¥7.62 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.49 ¥7.79 ¥14.71 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.87 ¥20.70 ¥40.04 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥8.89 ¥20.96 ¥37.69 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.38 ¥9.82 ¥13.47 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.21 ¥23.58 ¥49.74 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥7.76 ¥19.30 ¥38.87 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.25 ¥36.60 ¥51.36 54
Lynch FV ¥18.91 ¥27.01 ¥35.11 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥18.91 ¥27.01 ¥35.11 46
EPV ¥11.70 ¥13.59 ¥15.25 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥9.84 ¥13.12 ¥16.40 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.01 ¥5.35 ¥6.69 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.84 ¥13.12 ¥16.40 55
EV/EBIT ¥14.26 ¥18.90 ¥23.54 53
EV/EBITDA ¥12.80 ¥16.96 ¥21.12 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.08 ¥5.68 ¥7.29 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.53 ¥3.39 ¥5.06 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.19 ¥7.99 ¥14.21 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.94 ¥8.85 ¥17.03 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.14 ¥6.84 ¥20.61 76
ROIC Compounder ¥15.95 ¥25.77 ¥33.59 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥23.26 ¥33.23 ¥43.20 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥33.23) versus Asset-Based (¥3.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.0%
Net margin 24.2%
Return on equity 18.1%
Free cash flow 168M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 35.4
More key figures
Operating margin 38.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.8700
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +859%
Net debt 642M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 85
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shengda Resources Co.,Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the mining development, resource trading, and investment management businesses in China. The company explores and develops for precious and non-ferrous metals. It primarily mines for lead, zinc, gold, copper, and silver. The company was formerly known as Shengda Mining Co., Ltd.

Full company description

Shengda Resources Co.,Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the mining development, resource trading, and investment management businesses in China. The company explores and develops for precious and non-ferrous metals. It primarily mines for lead, zinc, gold, copper, and silver. The company was formerly known as Shengda Mining Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shengda Resources Co.,Ltd. in October 2019. Shengda Resources Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shengda Resources Co reported revenue of ¥2.5B in FY2025 versus ¥1.6B in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥532M in FY2025, compounding +6.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+22.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+11.3%
Revenue +10.7%/yr
FY21 ¥1.6B
FY22 ¥1.9B
FY23 ¥2.3B
FY24 ¥2.0B
FY25 ¥2.5B
Net income +6.0%/yr
FY21 ¥422M
FY22 ¥365M
FY23 ¥148M
FY24 ¥390M
FY25 ¥532M

000603 screens 62% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shengda Resources Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000603

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −62% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.52× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 18.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 45 · sector 23
PAST 72 · sector 0
HEALTH 93 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 8 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$164.89 A$81.76 -50%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.14 -36%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shengda Resources Co (000603) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.12 versus a price of ¥34.43, about −62% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000603?
Our model-based fair value for Shengda Resources Co is ¥13.12 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥34.43.
What is the quality score of 000603?
Shengda Resources Co has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shengda Resources Co (000603)?
Shengda Resources Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000603?
The net profit margin of Shengda Resources Co is about 24.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 24.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shengda Resources Co pay a dividend?
Shengda Resources Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.41% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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