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Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co (000739) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 18.9B CNY

AP Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co 000739 · SHE
Price¥23.41
Fair Value¥14.86
Upside-36.5%
Quality67/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.56% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range ¥11.64 – ¥18.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥16.91 to ¥14.86 (−12.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +29.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 37% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥37.24 ¥10.19 Fair Value ¥14.86 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.19 – ¥37.24 · fair‑value band ¥11.64 – ¥18.08 · the ¥23.41 price screens above the ¥14.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co (000739) currently trades at ¥23.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.86, implying the stock looks roughly 36.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co generated revenue of 9.5B CNY at a net margin of 9.4%. Revenue declined 10.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥11.64 (bear case) to ¥18.08 (bull case); at ¥23.41, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -37%, 000739 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥12.42 ¥20.05 ¥33.27 80
Residual Income ¥5.35 ¥6.47 ¥11.83 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.63 ¥16.33 ¥23.88 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥12.55 ¥21.03 ¥36.24 38
Owner Earnings ¥16.43 ¥28.31 ¥49.60 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥10.63 ¥16.48 ¥24.48 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥14.92 ¥25.51 ¥39.10 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥14.00 ¥23.59 ¥34.79 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥10.95 ¥16.79 ¥25.90 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥14.06 ¥23.49 ¥38.41 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥13.45 ¥22.07 ¥34.73 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.23 ¥26.13 ¥36.06 54
Lynch FV ¥7.07 ¥10.10 ¥13.12 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥7.07 ¥10.10 ¥13.12 46
EPV ¥8.65 ¥9.61 ¥10.45 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥6.44 ¥13.39 ¥21.24 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥6.44 ¥11.29 ¥14.05 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥12.69 ¥16.91 ¥21.14 63
P/S Multiple ¥9.80 ¥13.07 ¥16.34 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.80 ¥13.07 ¥16.34 55
EV/EBIT ¥12.54 ¥15.76 ¥18.99 53
EV/EBITDA ¥16.98 ¥21.68 ¥26.39 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.77 ¥12.73 ¥15.69 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.74 ¥3.67 ¥5.47 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥12.42 ¥20.05 ¥33.27 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.63 ¥16.33 ¥23.88 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.35 ¥6.47 ¥11.83 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.52 ¥11.89 ¥14.95 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥11.07 ¥15.81 ¥20.55 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥22.07) versus Asset-Based (¥3.67). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 9.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.4%
Net margin 9.4%
Return on equity 13.1%
Free cash flow 844M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 20.9
More key figures
Operating margin 13.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7800
Dividend yield 3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +1.2%
Net cash 2.3B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd provides raw materials various pharmaceutical factories in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through API, CDMO, and Pharmaceutical segments.

Full company description

Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd provides raw materials various pharmaceutical factories in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through API, CDMO, and Pharmaceutical segments. It offers API intermediates business, which includes cephalosporin, penicillin, psychotropic, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular, and veterinary API intermediates series; innovative drug R&D and production services CDMO include R&D services, commercial human drug projects, commercial veterinary drug projects and other commercial projects; pharmaceutical business includes anti-infective, cardiovascular, psychotropic, hepatobiliary and anti-tumor categories. The company also provides technology platforms, such as flow chemistry, synthetic biology and biocatalysis, crystallization and particle engineering, peptide, high potency compound, conjugate library service, oligonucleotide synthesis, and preparation and purification; and controlled-release formulation development, taste masking technology, and particle flow simulation. In addition, it exports its products under the Tianliwei, Baishixin, Li'an, Jutai, and other brands. Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd was founded in 1989 and is based in Dongyang, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co reported revenue of ¥9.8B in FY2025 versus ¥8.9B in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥891M in FY2025, compounding −1.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
9.8B CNY
Latest YoY
−18.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+11.5%
Revenue +2.2%/yr
FY21 ¥8.9B
FY22 ¥10.5B
FY23 ¥11.5B
FY24 ¥12.0B
FY25 ¥9.8B
Net income −1.7%/yr
FY21 ¥956M
FY22 ¥989M
FY23 ¥1.1B
FY24 ¥1.0B
FY25 ¥891M

000739 screens 37% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000739

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −37% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.07× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.98× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.99× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 7
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 53 · sector 23
HEALTH 96 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 71 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co (000739) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.86 versus a price of ¥23.41, about −37% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000739?
Our model-based fair value for Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co is ¥14.86 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥23.41.
What is the quality score of 000739?
Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co (000739)?
Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000739?
The net profit margin of Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co is about 9.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co pay a dividend?
Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.56% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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