Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical Co (000819) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 5.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +5.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.09). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.49 – ¥27.65 · fair‑value band ¥1.85 – ¥3.09 · the ¥11.93 price screens above the ¥2.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical Co (000819) currently trades at ¥11.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.47, implying the stock looks roughly 79.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical Co generated revenue of 3.7B CNY at a net margin of -1.7%. Revenue grew 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 29.2M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.85 (bear case) to ¥3.09 (bull case); at ¥11.93, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -79%, 000819 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.90) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.76). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical Co., Ltd. engages in the development, production, sales, and retail of petrochemical products in China. It offers methyl tert-butyl ether, liquefied petroleum gas, propylene, industrial isooctane, o-cresol, new chemical materials, energy conservation and environmental protection, energy chemicals, etc.
Full company description
Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical Co., Ltd. engages in the development, production, sales, and retail of petrochemical products in China. It offers methyl tert-butyl ether, liquefied petroleum gas, propylene, industrial isooctane, o-cresol, new chemical materials, energy conservation and environmental protection, energy chemicals, etc. The company was founded in 1989 and is based in Yueyang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical Co reported revenue of ¥3.8B in FY2024 versus ¥1.5B in FY2020, a compound +27.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥63.1M in FY2024, compounding +23.5%/yr from FY2020.
000819 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 334 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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