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PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited (PTTGC) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TH · Market cap 160B THB (≈ $4.8B) · ISIN TH1074010006

PG PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited PTTGC · BK
Price44.00 THB
Fair Value36.42 THB
Upside-17.2%
Quality48/100
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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 21% ABOVE our fair value of 36.42 THB
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +8.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.8% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +8.2 %/yr)
Loss-making · -1.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.14% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: Medium Range 7.28 THB – 72.04 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 30, 2026, revised from 18.21 THB to 36.42 THB (+100.0%) since Aug 23, 2026. Share price +14.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and trading another 21% above our fair value.

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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (7.28 THB to 72.04 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

59.46 THB 14.43 THB Fair Value 36.42 THB Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 14.43 THB – 59.46 THB · fair‑value band 7.28 THB – 72.04 THB · the 44.00 THB price screens above the 36.42 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited (PTTGC) currently trades at 44.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 36.42 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 17.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited generated revenue of 502B THB at a net margin of -1.8%. Revenue grew 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.7%. Net debt stands at 186B THB. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 7.28 THB (bear case) to 72.04 THB (bull case); at 44.00 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 146% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -17%, PTTGC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 31.45 THB 79.43 THB 163.02 THB 72
Growth DCF 31.00 THB 75.02 THB 149.67 THB 71
5Y EBITDA Exit 6.74 THB 26.64 THB 50.71 THB 67
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 31.45 THB 79.43 THB 163.02 THB 72
5Y Revenue Exit 19.30 THB 52.56 THB 97.37 THB 66
5Y EBITDA Exit 6.74 THB 26.64 THB 50.71 THB 67
10Y Revenue Exit 21.48 THB 54.50 THB 104.50 THB 60
10Y EBITDA Exit 14.57 THB 35.50 THB 65.40 THB 62
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 5.13 THB 10.66 THB 16.91 THB 64
DDM Multi-Stage 5.13 THB 8.99 THB 11.19 THB 64
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 5.16 THB 13.33 THB 62
EV/Revenue 14.04 THB 31.85 THB 49.66 THB 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 32.15 THB 43.08 THB 64.30 THB 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 31.00 THB 75.02 THB 149.67 THB 71
Rev-Margin DCF 19.30 THB 51.93 THB 94.18 THB 66

Widest divergence: DCF Models (52.56 THB) versus Multiples (5.16 THB). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.32 TTM
EPS (TTM) -2.49 THB
Dividend yield 1.1%
Net margin -3.3% FY2025
Return on equity -3.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 13.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 502B THB TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.9% 3y avg -10.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +650%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 20.6B THB FY2025
Net debt 186B THB FY2025 · ≈ 9.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 93
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited operates as a chemical company in Thailand and internationally. It operates through six segments: Upstream, Intermediates, Polymers and Chemicals, Bio and Circularity, Performance Chemicals, and Service and Others.

Full company description

PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited operates as a chemical company in Thailand and internationally. It operates through six segments: Upstream, Intermediates, Polymers and Chemicals, Bio and Circularity, Performance Chemicals, and Service and Others. The company offers chemical products, such as petroleum, olefins, aromatics, purified terephthalic acid (PTA), EO-based performance, phenol, propylene oxide and polyols, acrylonitrile and methyl methacrylate, green chemicals, adhesives, coatings, and painting; and polymer products, including high-density polyethylene, linear low-density polyethylene, metallocene polyethylene, low-density polyethylene, polyethylene terephthalate, polypropylene, polystyrene, post consumer recycled plastic, bioplastics, compound, and purging compound. It also provides logistics, jetty and chemical tank farm, pipeline infrastructure, utility, land and property management, and information and communication technology; plant maintenance and engineering design; quality safety, occupational health, environmental, and security services; management consultancy; social enterprise; liquidity management and financing vehicle; corporate venture capital investment; and outsourcing services. Its products are used in the film and flexible packaging, rigid packaging, construction, healthcare, agricultural, automotive parts, electronics and electrical appliances, home and personal care chemicals, energy saving solution, sustainable solution, and masterbatch. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited reported revenue of 488B THB in FY2025 versus 469B THB in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was −16.3B THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 34/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
488B THB
Latest YoY
−19.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.5%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +1.0%/yr
FY21 469B THB
FY22 684B THB
FY23 622B THB
FY24 609B THB
FY25 488B THB
Net income
FY21 45.0B THB
FY22 −8.8B THB
FY23 999M THB
FY24 −29.8B THB
FY25 −16.3B THB

PTTGC screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTTGC

Peer Group

Chemicals · 347 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −17% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.49× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE10 · sector 0
FUTURE55 · sector 20
PAST0 · sector 20
HEALTH75 · sector 94
DIVIDEND23 · sector 31

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

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Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥24.49 ¥20.17 -18%
Dow Inc DOW $30.51 $21.03 -31%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥41.32 ¥21.62 -48%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥13.76 ¥2.39 -83%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥78.04 ¥20.99 -73%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,855 IDR 1,584 IDR -15%
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥54.13 ¥16.17 -70%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥18.87 ¥17.09 -9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited (PTTGC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 36.42 THB versus a price of 44.00 THB, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PTTGC?
Our model-based fair value for PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited is 36.42 THB (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 44.00 THB.
What is the quality score of PTTGC?
PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited (PTTGC)?
PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 502B THB (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PTTGC?
The net profit margin of PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited is about -1.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.14% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 30, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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