PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited (PTTGC) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · TH · Market cap 160B THB (≈ $4.8B) · ISIN TH1074010006
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 30, 2026, revised from 18.21 THB to 36.42 THB (+100.0%) since Aug 23, 2026. Share price +14.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 21% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (7.28 THB to 72.04 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 14.43 THB – 59.46 THB · fair‑value band 7.28 THB – 72.04 THB · the 44.00 THB price screens above the 36.42 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited (PTTGC) currently trades at 44.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 36.42 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 17.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited generated revenue of 502B THB at a net margin of -1.8%. Revenue grew 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.7%. Net debt stands at 186B THB. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 7.28 THB (bear case) to 72.04 THB (bull case); at 44.00 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 146% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -17%, PTTGC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (52.56 THB) versus Multiples (5.16 THB). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited operates as a chemical company in Thailand and internationally. It operates through six segments: Upstream, Intermediates, Polymers and Chemicals, Bio and Circularity, Performance Chemicals, and Service and Others.
Full company description
PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited operates as a chemical company in Thailand and internationally. It operates through six segments: Upstream, Intermediates, Polymers and Chemicals, Bio and Circularity, Performance Chemicals, and Service and Others. The company offers chemical products, such as petroleum, olefins, aromatics, purified terephthalic acid (PTA), EO-based performance, phenol, propylene oxide and polyols, acrylonitrile and methyl methacrylate, green chemicals, adhesives, coatings, and painting; and polymer products, including high-density polyethylene, linear low-density polyethylene, metallocene polyethylene, low-density polyethylene, polyethylene terephthalate, polypropylene, polystyrene, post consumer recycled plastic, bioplastics, compound, and purging compound. It also provides logistics, jetty and chemical tank farm, pipeline infrastructure, utility, land and property management, and information and communication technology; plant maintenance and engineering design; quality safety, occupational health, environmental, and security services; management consultancy; social enterprise; liquidity management and financing vehicle; corporate venture capital investment; and outsourcing services. Its products are used in the film and flexible packaging, rigid packaging, construction, healthcare, agricultural, automotive parts, electronics and electrical appliances, home and personal care chemicals, energy saving solution, sustainable solution, and masterbatch. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited reported revenue of 488B THB in FY2025 versus 469B THB in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was −16.3B THB in FY2025.
PTTGC screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 347 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 | 49.50 SAR | 18.13 SAR | -63% |
| A. Schulman, Inc SLMNP | $849.00 | $203.64 | -76% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥24.49 | ¥20.17 | -18% |
| Dow Inc DOW | $30.51 | $21.03 | -31% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥41.32 | ¥21.62 | -48% |
| Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 | ¥13.76 | ¥2.39 | -83% |
| Zangge Mining Company 000408 | ¥78.04 | ¥20.99 | -73% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,855 IDR | 1,584 IDR | -15% |
| Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 | ¥54.13 | ¥16.17 | -70% |
| Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 | ¥18.87 | ¥17.09 | -9% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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