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CASIN Real Estate Development Group (000838) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CN · Market cap 1.8B CNY

Price¥1.59
Fair Value¥0.7400
Upside-53.5%
Quality92/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥0.5000 – ¥0.9700

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

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Analysis

CASIN Real Estate Development Group (000838) currently trades at ¥1.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.7400 — implying the stock looks roughly 53.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 92/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

CASIN Real Estate Development Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the real estate businesses in China. It is also involved in real estate development; resource recycling and comprehensive utilization; environmental engineering; energy performance contract; environmental water treatment, sewage treatment; domestic trade; investment in industry; wholesale of hardware product; sale of internet; and provision of building and decorative materials. The company was formerly known as CASIN Guoxing Property Development Co., Ltd. and changed its name to CASIN Real Estate Development Group Co.,Ltd. in May 2019. CASIN Real Estate Development Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1989 and is based in Chongqing, China.

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Frequently asked questions

Is CASIN Real Estate Development Group (000838) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.7400 versus a price of ¥1.59 — about −53% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 000838?
Our 21-model fair value for CASIN Real Estate Development Group is ¥0.7400 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥1.59.
What is the quality score of 000838?
CASIN Real Estate Development Group has a Quality Score of 92/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.