Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd ¥2.00, price ¥6.86, upside -70.9%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.26 – ¥8.44 · fair‑value band ¥1.22 – ¥2.54 · the ¥6.86 price screens above the ¥2.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co., Ltd. produces and sells chemical fiber products in China. Its products include biomass cellulose filaments, spandex fibers, garment linings, and textile raw materials, which are used in textiles, apparel, and medical protective equipment.
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Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co., Ltd. produces and sells chemical fiber products in China. Its products include biomass cellulose filaments, spandex fibers, garment linings, and textile raw materials, which are used in textiles, apparel, and medical protective equipment. The company engages in manufacturing, dyeing and finishing cellulose fibers, synthetic fibers, yarns, threads and textiles, and further processing and sales; production, supply, sales and service provision of industrial and domestic water; new material technology promotion services; and foreign trade operations. It exports its products to India, Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt, Italy and internationally. Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co., Ltd. company was founded in 1993 and is based in Xinxiang, China.
Stock analysis
Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949) currently trades at ¥6.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.00, implying the stock looks roughly 243.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥7.33 per share, and 1 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥6.86 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥0.7900, and 16 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥1.22 (bear) to ¥2.54 (bull), the price of ¥6.86 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd reported revenue of 7.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 8.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was 198M CNY in FY2025, compounding −38.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 11.7B CNY (≈ $1.7B) · P/E ratio 40.4 · P/S ratio 1.02 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1700 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −71%, 000949 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥1.22Fair Value ¥2.00Bull ¥2.54
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.53/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.9% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+5.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3% vs 1%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 5%
Compare Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 344 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−71% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.41× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)40.4× · Pricier than median
P/B1.74× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.42× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA10.7× · Pricier than median
PEG0.52× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)90· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)17· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)79· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)58· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000949
Frequently asked questions
Is Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.00 versus a price of ¥6.86, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000949?
Our model-based fair value for Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd is ¥2.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.86.
What is the quality score of 000949?
Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.22, optimistic scenario ¥2.54. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.00, about −71% upside versus a price of ¥6.86 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.22, optimistic scenario ¥2.54. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949)?
Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.92% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd it is ¥2.00 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥6.86. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 000949 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.86, fair value ¥2.00, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000949?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.00). For Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd the two are ¥4.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd worth?
The market values Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd at about 11.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.86; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000949?
Our models span a range for Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.22, base ¥2.00, optimistic ¥2.54 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥6.86). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 000949?
Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 40.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.00 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 1.7, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 10.7.
What is the PEG ratio of 000949?
The PEG ratio of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd is 0.52 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.3%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000949 from its 52-week high?
Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd trades at ¥6.86, about 17% below its 52-week high of ¥8.27 and 68% above the low of ¥4.08 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Shenzhou International Group, Tongkun Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, K.P.R. Mill Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥6.86, calculated fair value ¥2.00 (−71%), Quality Score 38/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000949 calculated?
We run Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥6.86. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.00, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥1.22 to ¥2.54) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949)?
The market capitalisation of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd is 11.7B CNY (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd is 1.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949)?
Earnings per share at Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd are ¥0.1700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 40.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949)?
The dividend yield of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd is 2.9% (payout 118%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949)?
The net margin of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949)?
The operating margin of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949)?
Revenue at Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd is growing +17.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949)?
Earnings per share at Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd are growing +319% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949) generate?
The free cash flow of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd is −38.0M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd (000949) carry?
The net debt of Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co Ltd is 2.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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