Yunnan Tin Company (000960) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 56.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from ¥20.36 to ¥20.31 (−0.2%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +5.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥25.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥11.15 to ¥25.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.54 – ¥48.46 · fair‑value band ¥11.15 – ¥25.39 · the ¥39.25 price screens above the ¥20.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Yunnan Tin Company (000960) currently trades at ¥39.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥20.31, implying the stock looks roughly 48.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Yunnan Tin Company generated revenue of 49.4B CNY at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 59.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. Net debt stands at 4.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥11.15 (bear case) to ¥25.39 (bull case); at ¥39.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 183% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -48%, 000960 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥24.25) versus Dividend Discount (¥7.29). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Yunnan Tin Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, mining, beneficiation, and smelting of metal ores, such as tin, indium, zinc, copper, and other non-ferrous metals in China and internationally.
Full company description
Yunnan Tin Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, mining, beneficiation, and smelting of metal ores, such as tin, indium, zinc, copper, and other non-ferrous metals in China and internationally. The company offers high-purity tin, tin ingots, and solder ingots; high-purity indium ingots; cathode copper; zinc ingots and zinc alloys for die casting; and precious metal products, including silver and gold. It also provides lead-free tin solders, tin anodes, solder bars and wires, tin-based spherical solder powders, tin alloys, solder pastes, BGA solders, preformed solder media, tin granules, tin bars, and tin-plated sheets; organic and inorganic tin chemicals; and silver ingots. The company sells its products under the YT brand. In addition, it is involved in commerce; investment and trade; metal smelting; nonferrous metal mining; and finance lease activities. Yunnan Tin Company Limited was founded in 1883 and is based in Kunming, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yunnan Tin Company reported revenue of ¥43.5B in FY2025 versus ¥53.8B in FY2021, a compound −5.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.0B in FY2025, compounding −8.6%/yr from FY2021.
000960 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 477 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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