Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group (000983) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CN · Market cap 40.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥4.27 to ¥4.50 (+5.5%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +7.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 32% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.30 – ¥11.97 · fair‑value band ¥3.38 – ¥5.62 · the ¥6.61 price screens above the ¥4.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group (000983) currently trades at ¥6.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.50, implying the stock looks roughly 31.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group generated revenue of 37.0B CNY at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue declined 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. Net debt stands at 14.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.38 (bear case) to ¥5.62 (bull case); at ¥6.61, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -32%, 000983 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.30) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.84). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group Co., Ltd. produces and cells coal products in China. The company offers coking coal, fat coal, gas coal, lean coal, and meager lean coal; and fined coal for metallurgy industry, powdered coal injection, steam coal, screen mixed coal, and coke. It also operates coal fueled-power plants.
Full company description
Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group Co., Ltd. produces and cells coal products in China. The company offers coking coal, fat coal, gas coal, lean coal, and meager lean coal; and fined coal for metallurgy industry, powdered coal injection, steam coal, screen mixed coal, and coke. It also operates coal fueled-power plants. The company was formerly known as Shanxi Xishan Coal and Electricity Power Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group Co.,Ltd. in December 2020. The company was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Taiyuan, Shanxi. Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Shanxi Coal Group Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group reported revenue of ¥37.2B in FY2025 versus ¥54.2B in FY2021, a compound −9.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.2B in FY2025, compounding −30.3%/yr from FY2021.
000983 screens 32% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →
Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 101 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥42.65 | ¥34.97 | -18% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹3,157 | ₹901.17 | -71% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥24.30 | ¥23.90 | -2% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥20.23 | ¥13.24 | -35% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹427.65 | ₹464.01 | +9% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥12.54 | ¥13.97 | +11% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥25.13 | ¥21.99 | -12% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.26 | ¥7.20 | -56% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,490 IDR | 3,220 IDR | +29% |
| PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, CUAN | 630.00 IDR | 360.72 IDR | -43% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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