Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co ¥7.02, price ¥37.13, upside -81.1%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
50‑month range ¥13.52 – ¥50.19 · fair‑value band ¥4.60 – ¥10.39 · the ¥37.13 price screens above the ¥7.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Guangdong AVCiT Technology Holding Co., Ltd. provides integrated IP based KVM solutions for command and control room in China and internationally.
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Guangdong AVCiT Technology Holding Co., Ltd. provides integrated IP based KVM solutions for command and control room in China and internationally. It offers KVM and AVoIP video wall control system, such as AIVC, an AI edge computing platform for video structured analysis; IP based video wall controller; Fiber matrix and KVM transmitter/receiver; DSIII KVM encoder/decoder; and video wall matrix switch. The company also provides solutions for transportation control center, airport operation center, dynamic and intuitive control room, network operation center, security operations center, emergency operation center, and conference meeting room audio video solutions. Its products have applications in energy, oil and gas, traffic and transportation, public security, aviation, industry, and finance. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229) currently trades at ¥37.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.02, 81.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥8.23 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the ¥37.13 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ¥2.61, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥4.60 (bear) to ¥10.39 (bull), the price of ¥37.13 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co reported revenue of 229M CNY in FY2025 versus 236M CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was 69.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding −8.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.3B CNY (≈ $795M) · P/E ratio 90.6 · P/S ratio 27.4 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.4100 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 30.3% · Return on equity 5.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −81%, 001229 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥4.60Fair Value ¥7.02Bull ¥10.39
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1482 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.53/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−13.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.54% → 32%
Compare Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Consumer Electronics · 122 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−81.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.8% · Above median
Return on assets3.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)25.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−18.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.6% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)90.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.28× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)22.76× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA62.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)84· sector 28
PAST (return on equity)23· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)12· sector 33
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/001229
Frequently asked questions
Is Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.02 versus a price of ¥37.13, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 001229?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co is ¥7.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥37.13.
What is the quality score of 001229?
Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.60, optimistic scenario ¥10.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.02, about −81% upside versus a price of ¥37.13 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.60, optimistic scenario ¥10.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229)?
Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 234M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co pay a dividend?
Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.58% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co it is ¥7.02 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥37.13. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 001229 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥37.13, fair value ¥7.02, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 001229?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥37.13); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.02). For Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co the two are ¥30.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co worth?
The market values Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co at about 5.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥37.13; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 001229?
Our models span a range for Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co: cautious scenario ¥4.60, base ¥7.02, optimistic ¥10.39 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥37.13). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 001229?
Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 90.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥7.02 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.3, P/S 22.8, EV/EBITDA 62.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 001229 from its 52-week high?
Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co trades at ¥37.13, about 26% below its 52-week high of ¥50.19 and 55% above the low of ¥23.92 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Samsung Electronics Co, Sony Group, Xiaomi Corporation, LG Electronics Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥37.13, calculated fair value ¥7.02 (−81%), Quality Score 45/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 001229 calculated?
We run Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥7.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥37.13. Our model-based fair value is ¥7.02, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥4.60 to ¥10.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co is 5.3B CNY (≈ $795M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co is 27.4 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co are ¥0.4100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 90.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229)?
The dividend yield of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co is 0.6% (payout 52.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229)?
The net margin of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co is 30.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co is 12.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229)?
The operating margin of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co is −18.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229)?
Revenue at Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co is growing +16.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co are growing +2.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co is 2.3M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co (001229) hold?
Guangdong AVCiT Tech Hldg Co holds more cash than debt, 407M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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