GDH Supertime Group (001338) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 4.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +1.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 15% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ¥7.43 (bear) to ¥12.38 (bull), base ¥9.91. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 73/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
45‑month range ¥8.12 – ¥27.29 · fair‑value band ¥7.43 – ¥12.38 · the ¥8.65 price screens below the ¥9.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
GDH Supertime Group (001338) currently trades at ¥8.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.91, implying the stock looks roughly 14.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, GDH Supertime Group generated revenue of 4.2B CNY at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue declined 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 840M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.43 (bear case) to ¥12.38 (bull case); at ¥8.65, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at 15%, 001338 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥19.74) versus Asset-Based (¥4.95). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GDH Supertime Group Company Limited engages in the research and development, production, and sale of malt raw material for beer brewing in China. The company offers basic barley malt and other products. It exports its products in Southeast Asia, Central and South America, Japan, South Korea, Africa, and other countries.
Full company description
GDH Supertime Group Company Limited engages in the research and development, production, and sale of malt raw material for beer brewing in China. The company offers basic barley malt and other products. It exports its products in Southeast Asia, Central and South America, Japan, South Korea, Africa, and other countries. The company was founded in 2017 and is based in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GDH Supertime Group reported revenue of ¥3.9B in FY2025 versus ¥3.0B in FY2021, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥237M in FY2025, compounding +12.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Beverages - Brewers · 52 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anheuser-Busch InBev SA 1ABI | €73.62 | €41.60 | -43% |
| Ambev S.A ABEV | 14,120 ARS | 6,060 ARS | -57% |
| Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD | 222.91 MXN | 201.74 MXN | -9% |
| Heineken N.V HEIA | €77.24 | €65.06 | -16% |
| Constellation Brands, Inc STZ | $135.72 | $177.43 | +31% |
| Carlsberg A/S CARLA | kr 1,125 | kr 607.30 | -46% |
| Heineken Holding HEIO | €71.20 | €72.67 | +2% |
| Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 | ¥53.60 | ¥63.65 | +19% |
| Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 | HK$6.58 | HK$6.05 | -8% |
| Molson Coors Canada Inc TPXA | C$63.10 | C$74.42 | +18% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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