Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $7.8B
Molson Coors Beverage Company
TAP · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +11.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 12% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($24.62 to $72.16). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Our model range runs from $24.62 (bear) to $72.16 (bull), base $48.39. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $37.34 – $63.76 · fair‑value band $24.62 – $72.16 · the $43.37 price screens below the $48.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) currently trades at $43.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $48.39, implying the stock looks roughly 11.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Molson Coors Beverage Company generated revenue of $11.2B at a net margin of -18.9%. Revenue grew 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -18.1%. Net debt stands at $5.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $24.62 (bear case) to $72.16 (bull case); at $43.37, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at 12%, TAP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($73.13) versus Dividend Discount ($30.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Molson Coors Beverage Company manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells beer and other malt beverage products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers flavored malt beverages including hard seltzers, craft, spirits, and ready to drink beverages.
Full company description
Molson Coors Beverage Company manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells beer and other malt beverage products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers flavored malt beverages including hard seltzers, craft, spirits, and ready to drink beverages. The company also provides non-alcoholic beverages including premium mixers and energy drinks. It offers its products under Arnold Palmer Spiked, Aspall Cider, Blue Moon, Beck's, Blue Run Spirits, Cobra, Corona Extra, Coors Original, Fever-Tree, Heineken, Hidra, Leinenkugel's, Madri, Miller Genuine Draft, Molson Ultra, Peroni Nastro Azurro, Pilsner Urquell, Redd's, Rekorderlig, Sharp's, Simply Spiked, Staropramen, Stella Artois, Topo Chico Hard Seltzer, ZOA Energy, and Vizzy Hard Seltzer above premium brands; Bergenbier, Borsodi, Burgasko, Carling, Coors Banquet, Coors Light, Jelen, Miller Lite, Molson Canadian brands, Niksicko, and O"ujsko under the premium brands; and Branik, Icehouse, Keystone, Lowenbrau, Miller High Life, Milwaukee's Best, and Steel Reserve under the economy brands. The company was formerly known as Molson Coors Brewing Company and changed its name to Molson Coors Beverage Company in January 2020. Molson Coors Beverage Company was founded in 1774 and is based in Golden, Colorado.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Molson Coors Beverage Company reported revenue of $11.1B in FY2025 versus $10.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.1B in FY2025.
Watch TAP: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Molson Coors Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Pricing and Cost Savings
- Molson Coors Beverage (TAP) Is Seeking Acquisitions For Horizon 2030
- Molson Coors Beverage Co (TAP) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Category ...
- Why Molson Coors Stock Inched Higher Today
Peer Group
Beverages - Brewers · 52 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 78/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anheuser-Busch InBev SA 1ABI | €73.62 | €41.60 | -43% |
| Ambev S.A ABEV | 14,120 ARS | 6,060 ARS | -57% |
| Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD | 222.91 MXN | 201.74 MXN | -9% |
| Heineken N.V HEIA | €77.24 | €65.06 | -16% |
| Constellation Brands, Inc STZ | $135.72 | $177.43 | +31% |
| Carlsberg A/S CARLA | kr 1,125 | kr 607.30 | -46% |
| Heineken Holding HEIO | €71.20 | €72.67 | +2% |
| Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 | ¥53.60 | ¥63.65 | +19% |
| Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 | HK$6.58 | HK$6.05 | -8% |
| Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co 000729 | ¥11.94 | ¥12.51 | +5% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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