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Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated (001390) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.5B CNY

AG Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated 001390 · SHE
Price¥17.62
Fair Value¥10.37
Upside-41.2%
Quality33/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.72% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range ¥7.26 – ¥13.49 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −12.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 41% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥13.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥7.26 to ¥13.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (14 months)

¥32.75 ¥16.55 Fair Value ¥10.37 May 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

14‑month range ¥16.55 – ¥32.75 · fair‑value band ¥7.26 – ¥13.49 · the ¥17.62 price screens above the ¥10.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated (001390) currently trades at ¥17.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.37, implying the stock looks roughly 41.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 16.5%. Revenue grew 18.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. Net debt stands at 202M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.26 (bear case) to ¥13.49 (bull case); at ¥17.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -41%, 001390 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥7.19 ¥8.12 ¥15.20 76
ROIC Compounder ¥10.46 ¥13.49 ¥17.20 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.5100 ¥1.02 ¥1.54 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥11.02 ¥18.60 ¥31.86 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥6.06 ¥31.28 ¥43.24 54
Lynch FV ¥8.54 ¥12.20 ¥15.87 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥8.54 ¥12.20 ¥15.87 46
EPV ¥9.71 ¥10.90 ¥11.93 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.5100 ¥1.02 ¥1.54 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.5100 ¥0.8800 ¥1.07 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥11.37 ¥15.16 ¥18.94 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.93 ¥7.90 ¥9.88 58
P/B Multiple ¥11.37 ¥15.16 ¥18.94 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.19 ¥16.85 ¥20.52 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.59 ¥13.39 ¥16.19 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.73 ¥10.10 ¥12.47 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.07 ¥5.45 ¥8.13 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.19 ¥8.12 ¥15.20 76
ROIC Compounder ¥10.46 ¥13.49 ¥17.20 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥11.56 ¥16.51 ¥21.46 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥18.60) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.8800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.7%
Net margin 16.5%
Return on equity 13.8%
Free cash flow −163M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 18.6
More key figures
Operating margin 18.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.9500
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -20.0%
Net debt 202M CNY FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 27
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated engages in the research and development, production, and sale of goose and duck down products for use in clothing and bedding applications. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Wuhu, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥596M in FY2021, a compound +15.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥178M in FY2025, compounding +23.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+9.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+16.4%
Revenue +15.3%/yr
FY21 ¥596M
FY22 ¥667M
FY23 ¥830M
FY24 ¥967M
FY25 ¥1.1B
Net income +23.4%/yr
FY21 ¥76.8M
FY22 ¥97.0M
FY23 ¥122M
FY24 ¥168M
FY25 ¥178M

001390 screens 41% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/001390

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 309 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −41% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 19% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.17× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.25× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 15.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 11
FUTURE 94 · sector 0
PAST 55 · sector 14
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥91.75 ¥12.85 -86%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated (001390) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.37 versus a price of ¥17.62, about −41% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 001390?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated is ¥10.37 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥17.62.
What is the quality score of 001390?
Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated (001390)?
Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 001390?
The net profit margin of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated is about 16.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated pay a dividend?
Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.72% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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