Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather stock ¥6.17, price ¥15.81, that is 61.0% below the price, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
17‑month range ¥14.98 – ¥32.75 · fair‑value band ¥5.70 – ¥7.97 · the ¥15.81 price screens above the ¥6.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Textile Incorporated engages in the research and development, production, and sale of goose and duck down products for use in clothing and bedding applications. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Wuhu, China.
Stock analysis
Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390) currently trades at ¥15.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.17, 61% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥18.78 per share, and 5 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥15.81 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.7000, and 12 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥5.70 (bear) to ¥7.97 (bull), the price of ¥15.81 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Anhui Guqi Down & Feather reported revenue of 1.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 596M CNY in FY2021, a compound +15.3%/yr. Reported net income was 178M CNY in FY2025, compounding +23.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.2B CNY (≈ $474M) Small · P/E ratio 18.6 · P/S ratio 2.93 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.8500 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 16.0% · Return on equity 10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −61%, 001390 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥5.70Fair Value ¥6.17Bull¥7.97
Price ¥15.81 · Downside -61.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.6174 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings¥4.79¥6.60¥9.3874
Residual Income¥6.70¥7.26¥8.7073
EPV¥8.36¥9.14¥9.7871
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings¥4.79¥6.60¥9.3874
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥6.06¥31.28¥43.2461
Lynch FV¥8.54¥12.20¥15.8758
PEG = 1.0¥8.54¥12.20¥15.8755
EPV¥8.36¥9.14¥9.7871
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥0.4200¥0.7200¥0.960065
DDM Multi-Stage¥0.4200¥0.6800¥0.780065
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥14.71¥19.61¥24.5263
P/S Multiple¥4.74¥6.32¥7.9058
P/B Multiple¥24.20¥32.27¥40.3355
EV/EBIT¥13.13¥17.84¥22.5566
EV/EBITDA¥9.06¥12.42¥15.7867
EV/Revenue¥3.42¥5.31¥7.2153
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥4.61¥6.99¥8.7355
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥6.70¥7.26¥8.7073
ROIC Compounder¥8.47¥10.00¥11.8269
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥13.15¥18.78¥24.4165
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.4%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+12.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 20%
Compare Anhui Guqi Down & Feather with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 338 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−61.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)16.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)16.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−2.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)18.6× · Pricier than median
P/B1.94× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)2.93× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA14.2× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 37
PAST (return on equity)43· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)16· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Guqi Down & Feather Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/001390
Frequently asked questions
Is Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.17 versus a price of ¥15.81, about 61% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 001390?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Guqi Down & Feather is ¥6.17 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥15.81.
What is the quality score of 001390?
Anhui Guqi Down & Feather has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥6.17 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.70, optimistic scenario ¥7.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Anhui Guqi Down & Feather stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥6.17, about 61% lower versus a price of ¥15.81 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.70, optimistic scenario ¥7.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390)?
Anhui Guqi Down & Feather reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Anhui Guqi Down & Feather pay a dividend?
Anhui Guqi Down & Feather currently shows a dividend yield of 0.82% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Anhui Guqi Down & Feather pays a dividend of ¥0.13 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 9, 2026. The payout ratio is 15.3% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.8% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.8% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Anhui Guqi Down & Feather it is ¥6.17 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥15.81. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Anhui Guqi Down & Feather stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 001390 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥15.81, fair value ¥6.17, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 001390?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥15.81); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥6.17). For Anhui Guqi Down & Feather the two are ¥9.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Anhui Guqi Down & Feather worth?
The market values Anhui Guqi Down & Feather at about 3.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥15.81; our models calculate a fair value of ¥6.17 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 001390?
Our models span a range for Anhui Guqi Down & Feather: cautious scenario ¥5.70, base ¥6.17, optimistic ¥7.97 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥15.81). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 001390?
Anhui Guqi Down & Feather trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.6 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥6.17 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 2.9, EV/EBITDA 14.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390)?
Balance-sheet figures for Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 10.7%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 001390 from its 52-week high?
Anhui Guqi Down & Feather trades at ¥15.81, about 52% below its 52-week high of ¥32.75 and 6% above the low of ¥14.98 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥6.17 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Anhui Guqi Down & Feather?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Anhui Guqi Down & Feather stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥15.81, calculated fair value ¥6.17 (−61%), Quality Score 33/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 001390 calculated?
We run Anhui Guqi Down & Feather through 17 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥6.17 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Anhui Guqi Down & Feather itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥15.81. Our model-based fair value is ¥6.17, about 61% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Anhui Guqi Down & Feather right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather
How large is the market capitalisation of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390)?
The market capitalisation of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather is 3.2B CNY (≈ $474M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather is 2.93 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390)?
Earnings per share at Anhui Guqi Down & Feather are ¥0.8500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390)?
The dividend yield of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather is 0.8% (payout 15.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390)?
The net margin of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather is 16.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather is 23.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390)?
The operating margin of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather is 16.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390)?
Revenue at Anhui Guqi Down & Feather is growing −2.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390)?
Earnings per share at Anhui Guqi Down & Feather are growing −27.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390) generate?
The free cash flow of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather is −163M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Anhui Guqi Down & Feather (001390) carry?
The net debt of Anhui Guqi Down & Feather is 202M CNY (fiscal year 2023). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 5, 2026