Nanjing Port Co (002040) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +5.2% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ¥5.48 (bear) to ¥9.77 (bull), base ¥7.81. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 60/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.88 – ¥14.00 · fair‑value band ¥5.48 – ¥9.77 · the ¥8.08 price screens above the ¥7.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Nanjing Port Co (002040) currently trades at ¥8.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.81, implying the stock looks roughly 3.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nanjing Port Co generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 18.5%. Revenue grew 13.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at 214M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.48 (bear case) to ¥9.77 (bull case); at ¥8.08, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -3%, 002040 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.42) versus Economic Profit (¥3.89). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nanjing Port Co., Ltd. provides loading and unloading, and warehousing services for crude oil, refined oil, liquid chemical products, and general cargo in China.
Full company description
Nanjing Port Co., Ltd. provides loading and unloading, and warehousing services for crude oil, refined oil, liquid chemical products, and general cargo in China. It also engages in the sale of container storage; door-to-door transportation and related accessories; disassembly and assembly, consolidation, repair and cleaning of containers; provision of electronic data exchange services and information consulting services; and docks for ships, as well as logistics services in the port area. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Nanjing, China. Nanjing Port Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Nanjing Port (Group) Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nanjing Port Co reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥797M in FY2021, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥182M in FY2025, compounding +5.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 231 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,828 | ₹1,041 | -43% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 16,520 | kr 3,033 | -82% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥13.98 | ¥40.37 | +189% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.57 | +27% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 20,050 KRW | 33,855 KRW | +69% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.35 | ¥5.58 | +67% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.88 | ¥15.97 | +80% |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA | ₹330.05 | ₹126.31 | -62% |
| Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 | 80.70 TWD | 212.79 TWD | +164% |
| Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI | kr 137.70 | kr 50.56 | -63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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