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Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company (601018) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 66.1B CNY

NZ Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 · SHG
Price¥3.38
Fair Value¥4.35
Upside+28.8%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.55% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.15 – ¥5.44 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from ¥5.58 to ¥4.35 (−22.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 29% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from ¥3.15 (bear) to ¥5.44 (bull), base ¥4.35. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥4.33 ¥3.17 Fair Value ¥4.35 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.17 – ¥4.33 · fair‑value band ¥3.15 – ¥5.44 · the ¥3.38 price screens below the ¥4.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company (601018) currently trades at ¥3.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.35, implying the stock looks roughly 28.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company generated revenue of 32.1B CNY at a net margin of 16.1%. Revenue grew 15.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. Net debt stands at 2.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.15 (bear case) to ¥5.44 (bull case); at ¥3.38, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 69% fair-value upside, at 29%, 601018 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.74 ¥6.30 ¥10.50 80
Residual Income ¥3.55 ¥3.68 ¥3.73 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.08 ¥5.10 ¥7.62 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.74 ¥6.45 ¥10.96 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.27 ¥2.17 ¥3.68 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.08 ¥5.12 ¥7.82 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.81 ¥8.58 ¥13.22 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.69 ¥6.34 ¥9.28 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.19 ¥5.17 ¥8.06 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.41 ¥7.66 ¥12.46 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.68 ¥6.04 ¥9.25 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.81 ¥7.53 ¥10.26 54
Lynch FV ¥1.90 ¥2.72 ¥3.54 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.90 ¥2.72 ¥3.54 46
EPV ¥2.57 ¥2.99 ¥3.36 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.38 ¥2.88 ¥4.56 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.38 ¥2.43 ¥3.02 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.98 ¥5.31 ¥6.64 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.99 ¥3.99 ¥4.99 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.39 ¥4.52 ¥5.64 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.03 ¥6.70 ¥8.37 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.85 ¥7.79 ¥9.72 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.83 ¥4.02 ¥5.22 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.24 ¥3.01 ¥4.49 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.74 ¥6.30 ¥10.50 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.08 ¥5.10 ¥7.62 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.55 ¥3.68 ¥3.73 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.57 ¥2.99 ¥3.36 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.16 ¥4.52 ¥5.87 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.04) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.43). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 32.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.6%
Net margin 16.1%
Return on equity 6.4%
Free cash flow 5.8B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 12.6
More key figures
Operating margin 18.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2700
Dividend yield 3.6%
Net debt 2.3B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 58
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company Limited operates as a container ocean trunk port in China. The company's terminal functions include container terminal facilities; iron ore professional terminal; crude oil terminal; liquid chemical raw material; coal transshipment, storage, and transportation base; and cruise terminal services.

Full company description

Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company Limited operates as a container ocean trunk port in China. The company's terminal functions include container terminal facilities; iron ore professional terminal; crude oil terminal; liquid chemical raw material; coal transshipment, storage, and transportation base; and cruise terminal services. It also offers port services, such as pilotage, ship tally, container loading and unpacking, cargo measurement, easy-to-fluidize solid bulk cargo sampling, and cargo damage and container inspection services. In addition, the company provides sea-rail transport logistics, domestic trade, shipping agency, port area freight forwarding, container logistics yard, railway liquefied product transportation and agency, cargo warehousing and full transportation, handling ship entry and exit procedures, contact arrangements for pilotage; signing bills of lading, and transportation contracts business. Further, the company handles customs declaration procedures for ships, containers, and goods; handles consignment and transit of goods and containers, and settlement and other projects; undertakes non-vessel operations; and collects freight. Additionally, it offers land bridge railway transportation, multimodal transportation, railway transit, export transportation, container rental, and other services. Furthermore, the company engages in software research and development, system integration, security engineering, and communication services. The company was formerly known as Ningbo Port Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company Limited in August 2016. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Ningbo, China. Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Ningbo Zhoushan Port Group Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company reported revenue of ¥31.1B in FY2025 versus ¥23.1B in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥5.2B in FY2025, compounding +4.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
31.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+11.8%
Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY21 ¥23.1B
FY22 ¥25.9B
FY23 ¥26.0B
FY24 ¥28.7B
FY25 ¥31.1B
Net income +4.9%/yr
FY21 ¥4.3B
FY22 ¥4.3B
FY23 ¥4.7B
FY24 ¥4.9B
FY25 ¥5.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601018

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 227 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +29% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Above median
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.76× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.06× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 72 · sector 27
FUTURE 78 · sector 18
PAST 26 · sector 26
HEALTH 96 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 71 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.07 ¥16.97 +110%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%
Yang Ming Marine Transport Corporation 2609 50.10 TWD 96.14 TWD +92%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company (601018) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.35 versus a price of ¥3.38, about +29% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601018?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company is ¥4.35 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.38.
What is the quality score of 601018?
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company has a Quality Score of 53/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company (601018)?
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 32.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601018?
The net profit margin of Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company is about 16.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company pay a dividend?
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.55% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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