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Cnlight Co (002076) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.8B CNY

CC Cnlight Co 002076 · SHE
Price¥2.09
Fair Value¥0.1900
Upside-90.9%
Quality34/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -10.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.1900 – ¥0.2800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥1.29 to ¥0.1900 (−85.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −2.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 91% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.2800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥4.31 ¥1.21 Fair Value ¥0.1900 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.21 – ¥4.31 · fair‑value band ¥0.1900 – ¥0.2800 · the ¥2.09 price screens above the ¥0.1900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Cnlight Co (002076) currently trades at ¥2.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.1900, implying the stock looks roughly 90.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cnlight Co generated revenue of 237M CNY at a net margin of -10.9%. Revenue grew 40.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 67.5M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.1900 (bear case) to ¥0.2800 (bull case); at ¥2.09, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -91%, 002076 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.0100 to ¥0.3700). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ¥0.1600 ¥0.1800 ¥0.1900 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.0100 ¥0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0100 ¥0.0100 61
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥0.1600 ¥0.1800 ¥0.1900 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0100 ¥0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0100 ¥0.0100 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥0.2200 ¥0.2800 ¥0.3400 53
EV/EBITDA ¥0.2900 ¥0.3700 ¥0.4500 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.1700 ¥0.2300 ¥0.2800 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.1400 ¥0.1900 ¥0.2800 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥0.1600 ¥0.1800 ¥0.1900 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥0.2800) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0100). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 237M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +40.5%
Net margin -10.9%
Return on equity -11.4%
Free cash flow −90.5M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -2.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) +25.0%
Net cash 67.5M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 3
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cnlight Co.,Ltd manufactures and sells lighting products in China. It offers LED lighting, UV disinfection, automotive lighting, lithium battery production equipment, information security, and system integration. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Foshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cnlight Co reported revenue of ¥380M in FY2025 versus ¥155M in FY2021, a compound +25.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥3.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 17/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
380M CNY
Latest YoY
+98.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+34.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.8%
Revenue +25.0%/yr
FY21 ¥155M
FY22 ¥156M
FY23 ¥151M
FY24 ¥192M
FY25 ¥380M
Net income
FY21 −¥173M
FY22 ¥24.6M
FY23 −¥13.1M
FY24 −¥31.0M
FY25 −¥3.8M

002076 screens 91% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cnlight Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002076

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −91% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 41% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.35× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.78× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 67.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 22
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Midea Group 000333 ¥82.71 ¥107.22 +30%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥38.25 ¥88.02 +130%
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥21.46 ¥36.04 +68%
King Slide Works Co 2059 8,655 TWD 1,917 TWD -78%
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥155.59 ¥38.95 -75%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $154.53 $89.07 -42%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.33 ¥48.03 +82%
Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 ¥43.85 ¥44.84 +2%
COWAY Co 021240 96,700 KRW 112,530 KRW +16%
Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 ¥50.13 ¥54.11 +8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cnlight Co (002076) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.1900 versus a price of ¥2.09, about −91% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002076?
Our model-based fair value for Cnlight Co is ¥0.1900 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥2.09.
What is the quality score of 002076?
Cnlight Co has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cnlight Co (002076)?
Cnlight Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 237M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002076?
The net profit margin of Cnlight Co is about -10.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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