Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co (002092) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 11.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +14.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 115% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥3.67 to ¥9.64). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.32 – ¥17.45 · fair‑value band ¥3.67 – ¥9.64 · the ¥4.48 price screens below the ¥9.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co (002092) currently trades at ¥4.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.64, implying the stock looks roughly 115.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co generated revenue of 29.2B CNY at a net margin of -1.2%. Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.4%. Net debt stands at 21.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.67 (bear case) to ¥9.64 (bull case); at ¥4.48, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 115%, 002092 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥5.57) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.31). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells chemicals in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Chlor-Alkali Chemicals, Textile Industry, Modern Trade, Logistics and Transportation, and Other Business segments.
Full company description
Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells chemicals in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Chlor-Alkali Chemicals, Textile Industry, Modern Trade, Logistics and Transportation, and Other Business segments. The company offers polyvinyl chloride resin (PVC), ion-exchange membrane caustic soda, methanol, viscose staple fiber, and viscose yarn. It also engages in information technology; trading; house leasing; oil sales; transportation and freight; and warehousing services. The company exports its products to Russia and Central Asia. Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co., Ltd. was founded in 1958 and is based in Ürümqi, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xinjiang Zhongtai Chemical Co reported revenue of ¥28.4B in FY2025 versus ¥62.9B in FY2021, a compound −18.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥289M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Chemicals · 334 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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