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Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group (002204) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 11.0B CNY

DH Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group 002204 · SHE
Price¥5.35
Fair Value¥6.40
Upside+19.6%
Quality56/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.69% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥4.80 – ¥8.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +3.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 20% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from ¥4.80 (bear) to ¥8.00 (bull), base ¥6.40. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥9.16 ¥3.04 Fair Value ¥6.40 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.04 – ¥9.16 · fair‑value band ¥4.80 – ¥8.00 · the ¥5.35 price screens below the ¥6.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group (002204) currently trades at ¥5.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.40, implying the stock looks roughly 19.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group generated revenue of 16.1B CNY at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 15.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.80 (bear case) to ¥8.00 (bull case); at ¥5.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 20%, 002204 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.47 ¥10.04 ¥17.68 80
Residual Income ¥3.30 ¥3.51 ¥3.88 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.81 ¥7.94 ¥12.41 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.62 ¥9.15 ¥18.39 38
Owner Earnings ¥6.58 ¥12.58 ¥24.45 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.81 ¥8.04 ¥12.79 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.88 ¥10.45 ¥16.75 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥5.75 ¥10.21 ¥15.73 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.91 ¥8.27 ¥13.57 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.77 ¥10.14 ¥17.67 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.68 ¥9.91 ¥16.74 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.07 ¥12.87 ¥17.97 54
Lynch FV ¥3.70 ¥5.29 ¥6.87 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.70 ¥5.29 ¥6.87 46
EPV ¥4.00 ¥4.46 ¥4.87 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.6100 ¥1.28 ¥2.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.6100 ¥1.08 ¥1.34 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.80 ¥6.40 ¥8.00 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.88 ¥5.18 ¥6.47 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.88 ¥5.18 ¥6.47 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.66 ¥7.14 ¥8.63 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.18 ¥7.85 ¥9.51 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.38 ¥5.74 ¥7.11 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.01 ¥2.69 ¥4.01 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.47 ¥10.04 ¥17.68 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.81 ¥7.94 ¥12.41 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.30 ¥3.51 ¥3.88 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.00 ¥5.13 ¥6.25 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.30 ¥7.57 ¥9.84 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥9.91) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 16.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.4%
Net margin 3.8%
Return on equity 7.9%
Free cash flow 581M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 17.8
More key figures
Operating margin 6.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3200
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +16.2%
Net cash 1.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group Co., LTD. manufactures, sells, and services technical equipment primarily in China. The company offers coke oven machinery, metallurgical vehicles, continuous caster, and metallurgical crane; bridge crane, and gantry crane; boom-type, scraper, and other types of stackers and reclaimer; car dumper unloading system, and …

Full company description

Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group Co., LTD. manufactures, sells, and services technical equipment primarily in China. The company offers coke oven machinery, metallurgical vehicles, continuous caster, and metallurgical crane; bridge crane, and gantry crane; boom-type, scraper, and other types of stackers and reclaimer; car dumper unloading system, and spreader and crushing station; port machinery; energy machinery; and gear driving system, electrical control system, and hydraulic driving system. It also provides marine and offshore engineering machinery; tunnel boring machine, gearbox for engineering machinery, and injection machine template; and service-oriented manufacturing machines. It also exports its products. The company was founded in 1914 and is headquartered in Dalian, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group reported revenue of ¥15.5B in FY2025 versus ¥9.1B in FY2021, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥588M in FY2025, compounding +50.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
15.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+14.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.7%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+21.4%
Revenue +14.2%/yr
FY21 ¥9.1B
FY22 ¥10.4B
FY23 ¥12.0B
FY24 ¥14.3B
FY25 ¥15.5B
Net income +50.3%/yr
FY21 ¥115M
FY22 ¥288M
FY23 ¥363M
FY24 ¥498M
FY25 ¥588M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002204

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +20% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.42× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.69× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 59 · sector 0
FUTURE 77 · sector 23
PAST 31 · sector 28
HEALTH 93 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 34 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group (002204) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.40 versus a price of ¥5.35, about +20% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 002204?
Our model-based fair value for Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group is ¥6.40 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.35.
What is the quality score of 002204?
Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group (002204)?
Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002204?
The net profit margin of Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group pay a dividend?
Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.69% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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