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Alpha Group (002292) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CN · Market cap 9.9B CNY

Price¥6.64
Fair Value¥1.52
Upside-77.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.06 – ¥1.98

Analysis

Alpha Group (002292) currently trades at ¥6.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.52 — implying the stock looks roughly 77.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Alpha Group operates as an animation and entertainment company in China and internationally. The company engages in the content creative research and development, production and distribution, marketing, and IP commercial operation activities, including content creation, media distribution, animated films, IP authorization, and cultural performances; film and television business; management of media advertisements; and IP licensing businesses. It also offers baby strollers, car safety seats, beds, dining chairs, baby walkers, paper products, and indoor play toys under the babytrend and Aobei brands, as well as animation IP and building block toys for kids; and develops and operates mobile games. The company was formerly known as Guangdong Alpha Animation and Culture Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Alpha Group in March 2016. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.