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Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co (002397) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.3B CNY

HM Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co 002397 · SHE
Price¥3.44
Fair Value¥1.40
Upside-59.3%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.05 – ¥1.75 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −9.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥5.90 ¥1.76 Fair Value ¥1.40 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.76 – ¥5.90 · fair‑value band ¥1.05 – ¥1.75 · the ¥3.44 price screens above the ¥1.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co (002397) currently trades at ¥3.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.40, implying the stock looks roughly 59.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.6%. Net debt stands at 24.3M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.05 (bear case) to ¥1.75 (bull case); at ¥3.44, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -59%, 002397 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.6200 ¥0.6500 ¥0.7000 80
Residual Income ¥1.18 ¥1.16 ¥1.02 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.30 ¥1.42 ¥1.53 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.6200 ¥0.6500 ¥0.7000 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.30 ¥1.58 ¥2.00 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.13 ¥1.54 ¥2.08 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.62 ¥2.39 ¥3.31 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.12 ¥1.54 ¥1.97 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.9000 ¥1.22 ¥1.62 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.22 ¥1.78 ¥2.45 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥0.9200 ¥1.22 ¥1.55 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.4300 ¥0.8400 ¥1.05 54
EPV ¥1.30 ¥1.42 ¥1.53 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.1700 ¥0.2400 ¥0.3000 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1700 ¥0.2400 ¥0.3100 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.05 ¥1.40 ¥1.75 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.8100 ¥1.08 ¥1.35 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.8100 ¥1.08 ¥1.35 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.99 ¥2.47 ¥2.96 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.50 ¥3.16 ¥3.82 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.51 ¥1.93 ¥2.35 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8100 ¥1.08 ¥1.62 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.6200 ¥0.6500 ¥0.7000 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.18 ¥1.16 ¥1.02 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.30 ¥1.42 ¥1.53 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.7500 ¥1.08 ¥1.40 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥1.54) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.9%
Net margin 3.3%
Return on equity 4.6%
Free cash flow 6.8M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 62.1
More key figures
Operating margin 5.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0700
EPS growth (YoY) +100%
Net debt 24.3M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co.,Ltd engages in the home textile business in China and internationally. It offers bedding products, such as kits, quilts, pillows, and other products under the Mengjie, MINE, Mengjie Baby, Pingshi Aesthetics, Shazhou Village brands, as well as mattresses, sofas, commercial laundry and care equipment, and detergents through …

Full company description

Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co.,Ltd engages in the home textile business in China and internationally. It offers bedding products, such as kits, quilts, pillows, and other products under the Mengjie, MINE, Mengjie Baby, Pingshi Aesthetics, Shazhou Village brands, as well as mattresses, sofas, commercial laundry and care equipment, and detergents through offline direct sales, franchise stores, online traditional e-commerce and social e-commerce, department stores, shopping mall counters, flagship stores, specialty stores, outlet discount stores, and group buying channels. The company was formerly known as Changsha Mengjie Quilted Products Industry Co., Ltd and changed its name to Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co.,Ltd in January 2001. Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co.,Ltd was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Changsha, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co reported revenue of ¥1.7B in FY2025 versus ¥2.5B in FY2021, a compound −9.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥47.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.7B CNY
Latest YoY
−2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+7.1%
Revenue −9.1%/yr
FY21 ¥2.5B
FY22 ¥2.0B
FY23 ¥2.2B
FY24 ¥1.7B
FY25 ¥1.7B
Net income
FY21 −¥156M
FY22 −¥448M
FY23 ¥22.4M
FY24 ¥24.9M
FY25 ¥47.7M

002397 screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002397

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 309 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −59% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 62.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 71.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 21.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.82× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 11
FUTURE 40 · sector 0
PAST 18 · sector 14
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥91.75 ¥12.85 -86%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co (002397) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.40 versus a price of ¥3.44, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002397?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co is ¥1.40 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.44.
What is the quality score of 002397?
Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co (002397)?
Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002397?
The net profit margin of Hunan Mendale Hometextile Co is about 3.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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