Beijing LeiKe Defense Technology Co (002413) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 13.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥0.7100 to ¥4.65 (+554.9%) since Jul 22, 2026. Share price −9.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (¥4.44 to ¥4.85), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.27 – ¥20.13 · fair‑value band ¥4.44 – ¥4.85 · the ¥8.71 price screens above the ¥4.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Beijing LeiKe Defense Technology Co (002413) currently trades at ¥8.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.65, implying the stock looks roughly 46.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing LeiKe Defense Technology Co generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of -4.4%. Revenue grew 26.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 340M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.44 (bear case) to ¥4.85 (bull case); at ¥8.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -47%, 002413 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.41) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Beijing LeiKe Defense Technology Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, and sells radar systems, satellite applications, intelligent control, secure storage, and intelligent networking products.
Full company description
Beijing LeiKe Defense Technology Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, and sells radar systems, satellite applications, intelligent control, secure storage, and intelligent networking products. The company offers remote sensing radar series, area surveillance radar series, safety monitoring radar series, car radars, signal processing series, and radar simulation test and verification series products; and millimeter wave, TV/infrared dual-mode, laser and other pattern recognition equipment, and integrated navigation systems. It also provides multi-mode multi-frequency satellite navigation baseband processing chips, baseband signal processing chips, satellite navigation modules, special satellite navigation terminals, civil satellite navigation terminals, and satellite navigation simulators; storage disks, storage devices, and storage systems; and radar simulation tester and navigation simulator series. In addition, the company offers agricultural machinery pre-installed automatic driving system; positioning, orientation, and attitude measurement system for unmanned aerial vehicles; general aviation flight monitoring system; early warning information dissemination and disaster reporting system; and passenger identification and vehicle safety system. The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Leike Defense Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Beijing LeiKe Defense Technology Co., Ltd. in September 2023. Beijing LeiKe Defense Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Beijing LeiKe Defense Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥1.6B in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥86.8M in FY2025.
002413 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 169 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $354.50 | $107.22 | -70% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $309.98 | $139.44 | -55% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $686.49 | $488.95 | -29% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 95.06 | kr 73.99 | -22% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $294.38 | $76.00 | -74% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥57.89 | ¥34.47 | -40% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.54 | $33.48 | -46% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $57.98 | $34.12 | -41% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $60.67 | $19.25 | -68% |
| Wuhan Guide Infrared Co 002414 | ¥13.99 | ¥4.50 | -68% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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