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Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd ¥1.44, price ¥1.31, upside +9.9%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE100000Q76

PL Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd

002431 · SHE

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value ¥1.44 · Fairly valued (+10%)
!Quality 30/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −16.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -75.4% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 13/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on balance sheet: 15 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥5.39 ¥1.21 Fair Value ¥1.44 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.21 – ¥5.39 · fair‑value band ¥1.33 – ¥1.60 · the ¥1.31 price screens below the ¥1.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Palm Eco-Town Development Co., Ltd engages in the design, planning, construction, and operation of eco-towns in China. It is also involved in the garden, engineering and landscape, and smart urban and rural construction businesses.

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Palm Eco-Town Development Co., Ltd engages in the design, planning, construction, and operation of eco-towns in China. It is also involved in the garden, engineering and landscape, and smart urban and rural construction businesses. The company also engages in water conservancy and hydropower projects, municipal facilities management, offers investment and asset management services, and education and tourism consulting. The company was formerly known as Palm Landscape Architecture Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Palm Eco-Town Development Co., Ltd in April 2016. Palm Eco-Town Development Co., Ltd was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Zhengzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431) currently trades at ¥1.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.44, implying the stock looks roughly 9.0% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ¥1.38 per share, and 2 of the 3 models we run sit above the ¥1.31 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.1600, and 1 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥1.33 (bear) to ¥1.60 (bull), the price of ¥1.31 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −16.0%/yr. Reported net income was −1.2B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.8B CNY (≈ $411M) · P/S ratio 1.80 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.6500 · Dividend yield 10.7% · Net margin −59.0% · Return on equity −107% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.7% · Operating margin −8.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 10%, 002431 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.33 Fair Value ¥1.44 Bull ¥1.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥1.28 ¥1.38 ¥1.53 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.28 ¥1.52 ¥1.83 67
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.1200 ¥0.1600 ¥0.2300 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.28 ¥1.38 ¥1.53 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.28 ¥1.52 ¥1.83 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.1200 ¥0.1600 ¥0.2300 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 55
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−34.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.5% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.1% (2020) → −8.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −75% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −65% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 10.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.70× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.98× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.27× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)47 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)15 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 40

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $634.90 $163.08 −74%
Vinci SA DG €110.50 €185.62 +68%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,626 $1,122 −31%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,930 ₹1,994 −49%
Ferrovial N.V FER $56.30 $24.01 −57%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 256,792 KRW −30%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €397.00 €203.87 −49%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €92.75 €75.04 −19%
EMCOR Group EME $751.80 $521.87 −31%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $217.52 $106.05 −51%

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Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥1.44 +9%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002431

Frequently asked questions

Is Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.44 versus a price of ¥1.31, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 002431?
Our model-based fair value for Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd is ¥1.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥1.31.
What is the quality score of 002431?
Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.33, optimistic scenario ¥1.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.44, about +10% upside versus a price of ¥1.31 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥1.33, optimistic scenario ¥1.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431)?
Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 10.75% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd it is ¥1.44 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥1.31. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002431 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥1.31, fair value ¥1.44, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002431?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥1.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.44). For Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd the two are ¥0.1300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd worth?
The market values Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd at about 2.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥1.31; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002431?
Our models span a range for Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.33, base ¥1.44, optimistic ¥1.60 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥1.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431)?
Balance-sheet figures for Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −106.8%, debt of 1.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002431 from its 52-week high?
Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd trades at ¥1.31, about 58% below its 52-week high of ¥3.13 and 8% above the low of ¥1.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥1.31, calculated fair value ¥1.44 (+10%), Quality Score 30/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002431 calculated?
We run Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥1.31. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.44, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431)?
The market capitalisation of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd is 2.8B CNY (≈ $411M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd is 1.80 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431)?
Earnings per share at Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd are ¥−0.6500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431)?
The dividend yield of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd is 10.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431)?
The net margin of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd is −59.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd is −107% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd is −4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431)?
The operating margin of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd is −8.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431)?
Revenue at Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd is growing −64.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431)?
Earnings per share at Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd are growing −6.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431) generate?
The free cash flow of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd is −2.9M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd (002431) carry?
The net debt of Palm Landscape Architecture Co Ltd is 1.4B CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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