Shanghai Challenge Textile Co (002486) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 1.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +4.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 53% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥0.8100 to ¥1.55) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.35 – ¥3.94 · fair‑value band ¥0.8100 – ¥1.55 · the ¥2.43 price screens above the ¥1.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Challenge Textile Co (002486) currently trades at ¥2.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.15, implying the stock looks roughly 52.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Challenge Textile Co generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 251M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.8100 (bear case) to ¥1.55 (bull case); at ¥2.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -53%, 002486 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥1.24) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanghai Challenge Textile Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development of knitted weft-knitted functional fabrics and garments. It offers sports functional fabrics; fleece fabrics; functional chemical fiber fabrics, wool products, ready-made clothes and other high-end fabrics, and medical protective equipments. Shanghai Challenge Textile Co.,Ltd.
Full company description
Shanghai Challenge Textile Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development of knitted weft-knitted functional fabrics and garments. It offers sports functional fabrics; fleece fabrics; functional chemical fiber fabrics, wool products, ready-made clothes and other high-end fabrics, and medical protective equipments. Shanghai Challenge Textile Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Challenge Textile Co reported revenue of ¥1.3B in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥46.3M in FY2025, compounding +23.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
002486 screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →
Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 307 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$44.40 | HK$75.65 | +70% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥23.56 | ¥14.53 | -38% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.04 | ¥14.35 | +19% |
| HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 | ¥91.75 | ¥12.85 | -86% |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 27.55 TWD | 28.72 TWD | +4% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,083 | ₹467.49 | -57% |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥5.18 | ¥2.21 | -57% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹602.20 | ₹437.53 | -27% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 323.84 TRY | +86% |
| Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 | ¥16.75 | ¥6.42 | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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