Nanning Baling Technology (002592) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Nanning Baling Technology ¥1.84, price ¥6.36, upside -71.1%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.10 – ¥11.81 · fair‑value band ¥1.60 – ¥2.23 · the ¥6.36 price screens above the ¥1.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Nanning Baling Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of automotive parts in Mainland China, Indonesia, and Europe.
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Nanning Baling Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of automotive parts in Mainland China, Indonesia, and Europe. It offers automotive thermal management products, including high-temperature and low-temperature radiators, battery coolers, intercoolers, oil coolers, condensers, HVAC systems, battery coolers, battery liquid cooling plates, motor and electronic control radiators, motor IGBT water radiators, DHT oil coolers, and thermal management modules; and automotive exterior parts, including bumpers and tailgate trim panels. The company serves automotive, construction machinery, defense equipment, and computer markets. Nanning Baling Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is based in Nanning, China.
Stock analysis
Nanning Baling Technology (002592) currently trades at ¥6.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.84, implying the stock looks roughly 245.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥6.66 per share, and 3 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥6.36 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.70, and 12 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.60 (bear) to ¥2.23 (bull), the price of ¥6.36 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Nanning Baling Technology reported revenue of 712M CNY in FY2025 versus 606M CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was 117M CNY in FY2025, compounding +64.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 1.8B CNY (≈ $269M) · P/E ratio 19.3 · P/S ratio 3.17 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3300 · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 16.4% · Return on equity 9.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −71%, 002592 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥1.60Fair Value ¥1.84Bull ¥2.23
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0587 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.9% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+66.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+62.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.47% vs −2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−150% → 7%
2025 sits 59% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Nanning Baling Technology with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−72% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth35% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)19.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.95× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)2.40× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA17.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)40· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)79· sector 38
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Nanning Baling Technology (002592) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.84 versus a price of ¥6.36, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002592?
Our model-based fair value for Nanning Baling Technology is ¥1.84 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.36.
What is the quality score of 002592?
Nanning Baling Technology has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nanning Baling Technology (002592)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.84 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.60, optimistic scenario ¥2.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nanning Baling Technology stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.84, about −71% upside versus a price of ¥6.36 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.60, optimistic scenario ¥2.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nanning Baling Technology (002592)?
Nanning Baling Technology reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 762M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Nanning Baling Technology pay a dividend?
Nanning Baling Technology currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.93% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nanning Baling Technology (002592)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nanning Baling Technology it is ¥1.84 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥6.36. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nanning Baling Technology stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002592 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.36, fair value ¥1.84, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002592?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.84). For Nanning Baling Technology the two are ¥4.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nanning Baling Technology worth?
The market values Nanning Baling Technology at about 1.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.36; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002592?
Our models span a range for Nanning Baling Technology: cautious scenario ¥1.60, base ¥1.84, optimistic ¥2.23 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥6.36). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002592?
Nanning Baling Technology trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥1.84 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 2.4, EV/EBITDA 17.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nanning Baling Technology (002592)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nanning Baling Technology (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.9%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002592 from its 52-week high?
Nanning Baling Technology trades at ¥6.36, about 43% below its 52-week high of ¥11.17 and 16% above the low of ¥5.46 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.84 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nanning Baling Technology?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nanning Baling Technology stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥6.36, calculated fair value ¥1.84 (−71%), Quality Score 52/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002592 calculated?
We run Nanning Baling Technology through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.84, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Nanning Baling Technology itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nanning Baling Technology (002592)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥6.36. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.84, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nanning Baling Technology right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Nanning Baling Technology (002592) come from?
Earnings per share at Nanning Baling Technology grew −8.0 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −3.6 %, EBIT margin −4.5 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Nanning Baling Technology
How large is the market capitalisation of Nanning Baling Technology (002592)?
The market capitalisation of Nanning Baling Technology is 1.8B CNY (≈ $269M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nanning Baling Technology (002592)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nanning Baling Technology is 3.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nanning Baling Technology (002592)?
Earnings per share at Nanning Baling Technology are ¥0.3300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nanning Baling Technology (002592)?
The dividend yield of Nanning Baling Technology is 3.9% (payout 75.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nanning Baling Technology (002592)?
The net margin of Nanning Baling Technology is 16.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nanning Baling Technology (002592)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nanning Baling Technology is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nanning Baling Technology (002592)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nanning Baling Technology is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nanning Baling Technology (002592)?
The operating margin of Nanning Baling Technology is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nanning Baling Technology (002592)?
Revenue at Nanning Baling Technology is growing +34.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nanning Baling Technology (002592)?
Earnings per share at Nanning Baling Technology are growing −47.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nanning Baling Technology (002592) generate?
The free cash flow of Nanning Baling Technology is −2.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Nanning Baling Technology (002592) hold?
Nanning Baling Technology holds more cash than debt, 58.6M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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