Genuine Parts Co (GPC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of Genuine Parts Co $116, price $127, upside -8.7%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $91.47 – $168.46 · fair‑value band $47.22 – $184.68 · the $127.02 price screens above the $115.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 6, 2026.
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Genuine Parts Company distributes automotive and industrial replacement parts. The company operates in three segments: North America Automotive Parts Group, International Automotive Parts Group, and Industrial Parts Group.
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Genuine Parts Company distributes automotive and industrial replacement parts. The company operates in three segments: North America Automotive Parts Group, International Automotive Parts Group, and Industrial Parts Group. It distributes automotive replacement parts, accessories, tools, equipment, and related solutions for hybrid and electric vehicles, trucks, buses, motorcycles, farm equipment, and heavy-duty equipment. The company also offers replacement parts, including brakes, batteries, filters, engine components, and fluids; specialized services, such as paint mixing, hydraulic hose assembly, battery testing, and key cutting; and accessories and specialty equipment for automotive and heavy-duty vehicles, as well as tools and diagnostic devices for repair and maintenance. In addition, it provides independent repair shops and auto care centers under the NAPA brand, and offers technical expertise and training programs to customers. Further, the company provides bearings, seals, and gaskets; hose, fittings, hydraulics, and pneumatics components; abrasives, adhesives, sealants, and tape; pumps and power transmission; tools and testing equipment; electrical supplies and safety products; and chemicals and janitorial supplies. Additionally, it offers inventory management; vendor-managed inventory; asset repair and tracking, including radio frequency identification; and specialized repair services for gearboxes, fluid power systems, pumps, drive shafts, electrical panels, and hoses and gaskets. The company was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Stock analysis
Genuine Parts Co (GPC) currently trades at $127.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $115.96, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.5%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $58.43 per share, and 2 of the 26 models we run sit above the $127.02 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $21.37, and 24 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $47.22 (bear) to $184.68 (bull), the price of $127.02 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Genuine Parts Co reported revenue of $24.3B in FY2025 versus $18.9B in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was $65.9M in FY2025, compounding −48.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $17.5B · P/E ratio 508.1 · P/S ratio 1.38 · EPS (TTM) $0.2500 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −9%, GPC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $47.22Fair Value $115.96Bull $184.68
Price $127.02 · Upside -8.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF$23.26$45.55$78.3377
Growth DCF$24.34$44.60$72.8776
Residual Income$22.40$21.37$20.9776
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$23.26$45.55$78.3377
Owner Earnings$0.4500$11.49$27.7266
5Y Revenue Exit$42.94$84.52$137.0370
5Y EBITDA Exit$59.12$113.97$176.8373
5Y P/E Exitn/a$3.96$9.0368
10Y Revenue Exit$32.88$68.89$115.9064
10Y EBITDA Exit$45.45$89.03$145.5166
10Y P/E Exit$7.33$13.78$20.6663
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$3.25$8.75$11.4565
Lynch FV$1.71$2.44$3.1761
PEG = 1.0$1.71$2.44$3.1757
EPV$53.60$66.19$77.2074
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$37.55$78.08$123.8766
DDM Multi-Stage$37.55$58.43$80.6866
Multiples
P/E Multiple$7.89$10.52$13.1563
P/S Multiple$6.10$8.13$10.1658
P/B Multiple$6.10$8.13$10.1655
EV/EBIT$97.03$136.67$176.3265
EV/EBITDA$92.50$130.64$168.7867
EV/Revenue$58.26$92.62$126.9853
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$16.04$21.50$32.0854
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$24.34$44.60$72.8776
Rev-Margin DCF$42.94$84.32$129.8471
Economic Profit
Residual Income$22.40$21.37$20.9776
ROIC Compounder$57.04$76.85$100.0072
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$6.19$8.85$11.5067
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.7% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−16.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−19.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−38.2% vs −20.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 6%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.7% a year for the price and +1.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Low margins and returns indicate weak pricing power with limited moat durability, while thin public evidence prevents any firm conclusion on long-term business quality.
Main risk: The separation into two independent companies risks substantial restructuring costs and operational distractions that could further pressure already low margins and returns.
Genuine Parts is advancing plans to separate its automotive and industrial businesses into two independent public companies by early 2027. Each could then operate with greater strategic focus and customized capital allocation suited to its market. At the same time the transition involves significant restructuring costs and operational distractions. Will the benefits of independence ultimately exceed the near-term costs of the split?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 657 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−8.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets4.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)6.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.79× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)508.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.96× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Genuine Parts Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GPC
Frequently asked questions
Is Genuine Parts Co (GPC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $115.96 versus a price of $127.02, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GPC?
Our model-based fair value for Genuine Parts Co is $115.96 (as of Oct 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $127.02.
What is the quality score of GPC?
Genuine Parts Co has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $115.96 (as of Oct 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $47.22, optimistic scenario $184.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Genuine Parts Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $115.96, about −9% upside versus a price of $127.02 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $47.22, optimistic scenario $184.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
Genuine Parts Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $25.1B (latest available figure, as of Oct 6, 2026).
Does Genuine Parts Co pay a dividend?
Genuine Parts Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.29% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 6, 2026).
What growth is priced into Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Genuine Parts Co would have to grow free cash flow by +23.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.0 % per year. As of Oct 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GPC use?
Our models discount Genuine Parts Co at 8.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.66, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Genuine Parts Co that is +23.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Genuine Parts Co (GPC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Genuine Parts Co grew +8.0 % a year. The price currently implies +23.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Genuine Parts Co (GPC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Genuine Parts Co (+23.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.40 %: that much free cash flow Genuine Parts Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Genuine Parts Co it is $115.96 per share (as of Oct 6, 2026), against a price of $127.02. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Genuine Parts Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 6, 2026, GPC trades above its calculated fair value: price $127.02, fair value $115.96, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GPC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($127.02); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($115.96). For Genuine Parts Co the two are $11.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Genuine Parts Co worth?
The market values Genuine Parts Co at about $17.5B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 6, 2026). Per share that is $127.02; our models calculate a fair value of $115.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GPC?
Our models span a range for Genuine Parts Co: cautious scenario $47.22, base $115.96, optimistic $184.68 per share (as of Oct 6, 2026, price $127.02). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of GPC?
The PEG ratio of Genuine Parts Co is 1.61 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Genuine Parts Co (as of Oct 6, 2026): return on equity 0.7%, debt of 0.79 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GPC from its 52-week high?
Genuine Parts Co trades at $127.02, about 13% below its 52-week high of $146.31 and 39% above the low of $91.47 (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $115.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Genuine Parts Co?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Genuine Parts Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 6, 2026: price $127.02, calculated fair value $115.96 (−9%), Quality Score 50/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GPC calculated?
We run Genuine Parts Co through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $115.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Genuine Parts Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was $127.02. Our model-based fair value is $115.96, about −9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Genuine Parts Co right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($47.22 to $184.68). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Where does the earnings growth of Genuine Parts Co (GPC) come from?
Earnings per share at Genuine Parts Co grew +1.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.9 %, EBIT margin −1.6 %, tax rate +2.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Genuine Parts Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
The market capitalisation of Genuine Parts Co is $17.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Genuine Parts Co is 508.1 (ex one-offs 17.2 (fiscal year 2025)). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Genuine Parts Co is 1.38 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
Earnings per share at Genuine Parts Co are $0.2500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 508.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
The dividend yield of Genuine Parts Co is 3.3% (payout 108%, on adjusted earnings, reported 1,674%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
The net margin of Genuine Parts Co is 0.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Genuine Parts Co is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Genuine Parts Co is 8.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
The operating margin of Genuine Parts Co is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
Revenue at Genuine Parts Co is growing +6.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Genuine Parts Co (GPC)?
Earnings per share at Genuine Parts Co are growing −9.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Genuine Parts Co (GPC) carry?
The net debt of Genuine Parts Co is $7.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 18.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 6, 2026