Genuine Parts Company (GPC) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $17.4B

A solid business, but screening 68% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($43.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $91.47 – $168.46 · fair‑value band $31.43 – $43.02 · the $132.79 price screens above the $43.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Genuine Parts Company (GPC) currently trades at $132.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $43.02, implying the stock looks roughly 67.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Genuine Parts Company generated revenue of $24.7B at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. Net debt stands at $7.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $31.43 (bear case) to $43.02 (bull case); at $132.79, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -68%, GPC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($61.19) versus Earnings-Based ($2.44). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Genuine Parts Company distributes automotive and industrial replacement parts. The company operates in three segments: North America Automotive Parts Group, International Automotive Parts Group, and Industrial Parts Group.

Full company description

Genuine Parts Company distributes automotive and industrial replacement parts. The company operates in three segments: North America Automotive Parts Group, International Automotive Parts Group, and Industrial Parts Group. It distributes automotive replacement parts, accessories, tools, equipment, and related solutions for hybrid and electric vehicles, trucks, buses, motorcycles, farm equipment, and heavy-duty equipment. The company also offers replacement parts, including brakes, batteries, filters, engine components, and fluids; specialized services, such as paint mixing, hydraulic hose assembly, battery testing, and key cutting; and accessories and specialty equipment for automotive and heavy-duty vehicles, as well as tools and diagnostic devices for repair and maintenance. In addition, it provides independent repair shops and auto care centers under the NAPA brand, and offers technical expertise and training programs to customers. Further, the company provides bearings, seals, and gaskets; hose, fittings, hydraulics, and pneumatics components; abrasives, adhesives, sealants, and tape; pumps and power transmission; tools and testing equipment; electrical supplies and safety products; and chemicals and janitorial supplies. Additionally, it offers inventory management; vendor-managed inventory; asset repair and tracking, including radio frequency identification; and specialized repair services for gearboxes, fluid power systems, pumps, drive shafts, electrical panels, and hoses and gaskets. The company was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Genuine Parts Company reported revenue of $24.3B in FY2025 versus $18.9B in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was $65.9M in FY2025, compounding −48.0%/yr from FY2021.

GPC screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 641 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.