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Offcn Education Technology Co (002607) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 12.6B CNY

OE Offcn Education Technology Co 002607 · SHE
Price¥2.14
Fair Value¥0.3300
Upside-84.6%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: High Range ¥0.2000 – ¥0.4600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥0.1700 to ¥0.3300 (+94.1%) since Jul 22, 2026. Share price +12.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 85% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.4600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥0.2000 to ¥0.4600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥35.82 ¥1.39 Fair Value ¥0.3300 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.39 – ¥35.82 · fair‑value band ¥0.2000 – ¥0.4600 · the ¥2.14 price screens above the ¥0.3300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Offcn Education Technology Co (002607) currently trades at ¥2.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.3300, implying the stock looks roughly 84.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Offcn Education Technology Co generated revenue of 2.3B CNY at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue grew 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Net debt stands at 645M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.2000 (bear case) to ¥0.4600 (bull case); at ¥2.14, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -85%, 002607 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.0700 to ¥1.00). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.5300 ¥0.7500 ¥1.15 80
Residual Income ¥0.1000 ¥0.1000 ¥0.1100 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.3000 ¥0.4600 ¥0.6500 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.5000 ¥0.7300 ¥1.17 38
Owner Earnings ¥0.3200 ¥0.4800 ¥0.7900 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.3000 ¥0.4400 ¥0.6500 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.5600 ¥0.9000 ¥1.34 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥0.2000 ¥0.2600 ¥0.3500 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.3700 ¥0.4800 ¥0.6000 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.5300 ¥0.7600 ¥1.00 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥0.3100 ¥0.3700 ¥0.4200 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.0500 ¥0.0700 ¥0.0700 54
EPV ¥0.2100 ¥0.2600 ¥0.3000 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.1700 ¥0.1900 ¥0.2100 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1700 ¥0.2100 ¥0.2700 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.1300 ¥0.1700 ¥0.2200 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.1000 ¥0.1300 ¥0.1700 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.1000 ¥0.1300 ¥0.1700 55
EV/EBIT ¥0.5700 ¥0.7900 ¥1.01 53
EV/EBITDA ¥0.7200 ¥1.00 ¥1.27 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.2000 ¥0.3300 ¥0.4600 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.0600 ¥0.0800 ¥0.1200 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.5300 ¥0.7500 ¥1.15 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.3000 ¥0.4600 ¥0.6500 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥0.1000 ¥0.1000 ¥0.1100 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.2100 ¥0.2700 ¥0.3400 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.0900 ¥0.1300 ¥0.1700 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥0.4800) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.3%
Net margin 2.5%
Return on equity 7.1%
Free cash flow 380M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 214.0
More key figures
Operating margin 24.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0100
Net debt 645M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Offcn Education Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a multi-category vocational education institution in China. The company provides public service recruitment examination training, academic qualification, and professional qualification and professional ability training services.

Full company description

Offcn Education Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a multi-category vocational education institution in China. The company provides public service recruitment examination training, academic qualification, and professional qualification and professional ability training services. It also offers educational technology consulting, technology development, technology promotion, technology transfer, and technical services; educational consulting; cultural consulting; enterprise management consulting services; enterprise investment consulting; computer technology training services; public relations services; conference services; human resources services. In addition, the company engages in the hosting of exhibitions and display activities; design, production, agency, and publication of advertisements; intermediary activities; radio and television program production; internet cultural activities; publication wholesale and retail; and telecommunications business. Offcn Education Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Offcn Education Technology Co reported revenue of ¥2.2B in FY2025 versus ¥6.9B in FY2021, a compound −24.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥48.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.2B CNY
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−27.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−22.1%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Revenue −24.6%/yr
FY21 ¥6.9B
FY22 ¥4.8B
FY23 ¥3.1B
FY24 ¥2.6B
FY25 ¥2.2B
Net income
FY21 −¥2.4B
FY22 −¥1.1B
FY23 −¥209M
FY24 ¥184M
FY25 ¥48.9M

002607 screens 85% overvalued. Compare with New Oriental Education & Technology Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Offcn Education Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002607

Peer Group

Education & Training Services · 149 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.93× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 214.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 16.62× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.56× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 29.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 35
FUTURE 22 · sector 23
PAST 29 · sector 19
HEALTH 54 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 61

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 875.84 MXN -9%
TAL Education Group TAL $11.87 $15.60 +31%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.99 $41.45 +12%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹123.90 ₹14.81 -88%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $142.06 $152.01 +7%
Covista Inc CVSA $128.22 $135.45 +6%
Stride, Inc LRN $78.59 $139.45 +77%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $25.64 $20.98 -18%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.24 $40.65 +30%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $79.98 $105.48 +32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Offcn Education Technology Co (002607) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.3300 versus a price of ¥2.14, about −85% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002607?
Our model-based fair value for Offcn Education Technology Co is ¥0.3300 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥2.14.
What is the quality score of 002607?
Offcn Education Technology Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Offcn Education Technology Co (002607)?
Offcn Education Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002607?
The net profit margin of Offcn Education Technology Co is about 2.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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