Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd ¥0.33, price ¥1.88, upside -82.5%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.39 – ¥28.68 · fair‑value band ¥0.2000 – ¥0.4600 · the ¥1.88 price screens above the ¥0.3300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Offcn Education Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a multi-category vocational education institution in China. The company provides public service recruitment examination training, academic qualification, and professional qualification and professional ability training services.
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Offcn Education Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a multi-category vocational education institution in China. The company provides public service recruitment examination training, academic qualification, and professional qualification and professional ability training services. It also offers educational technology consulting, technology development, technology promotion, technology transfer, and technical services; educational consulting; cultural consulting; enterprise management consulting services; enterprise investment consulting; computer technology training services; public relations services; conference services; human resources services. In addition, the company engages in the hosting of exhibitions and display activities; design, production, agency, and publication of advertisements; intermediary activities; radio and television program production; internet cultural activities; publication wholesale and retail; and telecommunications business. Offcn Education Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607) currently trades at ¥1.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.3300, implying the stock looks roughly 469.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥0.5000 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥1.88 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.0700, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.2000 (bear) to ¥0.4600 (bull), the price of ¥1.88 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 6.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −24.6%/yr. Reported net income was 48.9M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 12.6B CNY (≈ $1.9B) · P/E ratio 188.0 · P/S ratio 4.11 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 2.2% · Return on equity 7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 35% fair-value upside, at −82%, 002607 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.0700 to ¥1.00). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥0.2000Fair Value ¥0.3300Bull ¥0.4600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0074 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−27.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.1%
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−51.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−52.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−52.7% vs −17.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 14%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 25.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.4% a year for the price.
Compare Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 141 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside−82.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.1% · Above median
Return on assets3.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)24.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.93× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)188.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B16.62× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)5.56× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF4.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA29.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)22· sector 29
PAST (return on equity)29· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)54· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)18· sector 69
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002607
Frequently asked questions
Is Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.3300 versus a price of ¥1.88, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002607?
Our model-based fair value for Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd is ¥0.3300 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥1.88.
What is the quality score of 002607?
Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.3300 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.2000, optimistic scenario ¥0.4600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.3300, about −82% upside versus a price of ¥1.88 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.2000, optimistic scenario ¥0.4600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.91% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +22.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -27.6 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002607 use?
Our models discount Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd at 11.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.80, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd that is +22.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd grew -27.6 % a year. The price currently implies +22.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (+22.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.28 %: that much free cash flow Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd it is ¥0.3300 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ¥1.88. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 002607 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥1.88, fair value ¥0.3300, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002607?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥1.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.3300). For Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥1.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd at about 12.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ¥1.88; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.3300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002607?
Our models span a range for Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.2000, base ¥0.3300, optimistic ¥0.4600 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ¥1.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002607?
Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 188.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥0.3300 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 188.0 (reported for FY2025: 238.0). Other multiples: P/B 16.6, P/S 5.6, EV/EBITDA 29.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
Balance-sheet figures for Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 7.1%, debt of 0.93 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002607 from its 52-week high?
Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥1.88, about 44% below its 52-week high of ¥3.33 and 8% above the low of ¥1.74 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.3300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Zhong Jia Guo Xin Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ¥1.88, calculated fair value ¥0.3300 (−82%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002607 calculated?
We run Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.3300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥1.88. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.3300, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.4600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥0.2000 to ¥0.4600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
The market capitalisation of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd is 12.6B CNY (≈ $1.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd is 4.11 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
Earnings per share at Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd are ¥0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 188.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
The dividend yield of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd is 0.9% (payout 171%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
The net margin of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd is 2.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd is −6.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
The operating margin of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd is 24.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607)?
Revenue at Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd is growing +4.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd (002607) carry?
The net debt of Offcn Education Technology Co Ltd is 645M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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