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Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co (002609) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 4.9B CNY

SJ Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co 002609 · SHE
Price¥7.85
Fair Value¥2.07
Upside-73.6%
Quality65/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.13% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.56 – ¥2.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥3.17 to ¥2.07 (−34.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +8.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 74% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥13.60 ¥6.17 Fair Value ¥2.07 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.17 – ¥13.60 · fair‑value band ¥1.56 – ¥2.59 · the ¥7.85 price screens above the ¥2.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co (002609) currently trades at ¥7.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.07, implying the stock looks roughly 73.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co generated revenue of 1.8B CNY at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue grew 19.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 432M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.56 (bear case) to ¥2.59 (bull case); at ¥7.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -74%, 002609 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥7.69 ¥12.06 ¥19.02 80
Residual Income ¥2.66 ¥2.59 ¥2.13 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.61 ¥6.24 ¥8.34 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥7.74 ¥12.52 ¥20.44 38
Owner Earnings ¥5.42 ¥8.48 ¥13.53 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.61 ¥6.19 ¥8.19 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.78 ¥10.62 ¥15.36 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.42 ¥5.80 ¥7.27 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.60 ¥7.43 ¥9.97 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.05 ¥10.59 ¥15.78 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.53 ¥7.15 ¥9.22 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.6700 ¥3.03 ¥4.15 54
Lynch FV ¥0.7900 ¥1.13 ¥1.47 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.7900 ¥1.13 ¥1.47 46
EPV ¥2.89 ¥3.14 ¥3.35 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.6900 ¥1.38 ¥2.09 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.6900 ¥1.20 ¥1.46 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.56 ¥2.07 ¥2.59 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.26 ¥1.68 ¥2.10 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.26 ¥1.68 ¥2.10 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.77 ¥4.58 ¥5.40 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.75 ¥8.56 ¥10.37 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.06 ¥3.81 ¥4.56 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.86 ¥2.50 ¥3.73 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥7.69 ¥12.06 ¥19.02 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.61 ¥6.24 ¥8.34 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.66 ¥2.59 ¥2.13 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.89 ¥3.14 ¥3.35 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.28 ¥1.83 ¥2.38 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.43) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.3%
Net margin 3.5%
Return on equity 2.6%
Free cash flow 342M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 75.7
More key figures
Operating margin -1.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1000
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +16.0%
Net cash 432M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co.,Ltd. provides smart parking and access control solutions worldwide.

Full company description

Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co.,Ltd. provides smart parking and access control solutions worldwide. It offers entrance and exit control solutions, that includes parking management systems, parking guidance systems, barrier gates, pedestrian gates, access control, EV chargers, and a unified cloud-based platform for centralized monitoring and management. The company provides smart parking management system and smart access control channel management system for use in residential properties, commercial plazas, office buildings, venues and hubs, government agencies, schools, hospitals, park scenic spots, and other communities. It also engages in the software and cloud service business, which includes cloud hosting services, smart community/smart park business, and urban smart parking management platform. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co reported revenue of ¥1.7B in FY2025 versus ¥1.5B in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥63.6M in FY2025, compounding −20.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+12.6%
Revenue +3.8%/yr
FY21 ¥1.5B
FY22 ¥1.4B
FY23 ¥1.6B
FY24 ¥1.6B
FY25 ¥1.7B
Net income −20.8%/yr
FY21 ¥161M
FY22 ¥18.1M
FY23 ¥112M
FY24 ¥31.4M
FY25 ¥63.6M

002609 screens 74% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002609

Peer Group

Scientific & Technical Instruments · 161 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Above median
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Revenue growth 19% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 75.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.03× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.70× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 29.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 97 · sector 34
PAST 10 · sector 25
HEALTH 98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 23 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS $315.90 $84.16 -73%
Garmin Ltd GRMN $241.76 $146.67 -39%
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY $635.52 $367.58 -42%
Chroma ATE Inc 2360 1,905 TWD 286.15 TWD -85%
Hexagon AB HEXAB kr 80.10 kr 52.93 -34%
MKS Inc MKSI $324.69 $77.46 -76%
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 ¥52.91 ¥34.47 -35%
Fortive Corporation FTV $61.78 $33.84 -45%
Trimble Inc TRMB $52.72 $24.47 -54%
Cognex Corporation CGNX $64.07 $13.75 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co (002609) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.07 versus a price of ¥7.85, about −74% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002609?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co is ¥2.07 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.85.
What is the quality score of 002609?
Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co (002609)?
Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002609?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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