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Guangdong Chant Group (002616) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 4.2B CNY

GC Guangdong Chant Group 002616 · SHE
Price¥4.69
Fair Value¥6.10
Upside+30.1%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
8.06% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.26 – ¥7.62 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +3.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 30% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from ¥4.26 (bear) to ¥7.62 (bull), base ¥6.10. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 48/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥7.31 ¥3.15 Fair Value ¥6.10 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.15 – ¥7.31 · fair‑value band ¥4.26 – ¥7.62 · the ¥4.69 price screens below the ¥6.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Chant Group (002616) currently trades at ¥4.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.10, implying the stock looks roughly 30.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Chant Group generated revenue of 3.6B CNY at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue declined 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at 2.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.26 (bear case) to ¥7.62 (bull case); at ¥4.69, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at 30%, 002616 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥6.33 ¥11.69 ¥19.87 80
Residual Income ¥3.47 ¥3.70 ¥4.02 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.72 ¥5.40 ¥8.70 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥6.30 ¥11.92 ¥20.68 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.79 ¥9.47 ¥16.76 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.72 ¥5.33 ¥8.62 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.24 ¥14.18 ¥22.53 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.62 ¥7.10 ¥10.83 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.82 ¥6.58 ¥10.29 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.81 ¥12.73 ¥21.10 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.51 ¥7.81 ¥12.01 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.22 ¥8.41 ¥11.39 54
Lynch FV ¥2.04 ¥2.92 ¥3.79 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.04 ¥2.92 ¥3.79 46
EPV ¥3.67 ¥4.67 ¥5.53 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.55 ¥7.07 ¥10.71 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.55 ¥6.11 ¥7.46 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.38 ¥7.18 ¥8.97 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.84 ¥5.12 ¥6.40 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.16 ¥5.54 ¥6.93 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.10 ¥11.68 ¥15.27 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.89 ¥12.74 ¥16.59 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.9200 ¥2.46 ¥3.99 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.11 ¥2.82 ¥4.21 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥6.33 ¥11.69 ¥19.87 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.72 ¥5.40 ¥8.70 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.47 ¥3.70 ¥4.02 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.67 ¥5.05 ¥7.32 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.84 ¥5.48 ¥7.13 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.81) versus Asset-Based (¥2.82). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.5%
Net margin 8.3%
Return on equity 9.1%
Free cash flow 675M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 14.8
More key figures
Operating margin 15.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3300
Dividend yield 8.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +9.5%
Net debt 2.7B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 15
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangdong Chant Group Inc. operates in the environmental thermal energy business primarily in China. It engages in the biomass cogeneration, centralized coal-fired heating in industrial parks, and municipal solid waste power generation, as well as electricity and heat production and comprehensive utilization of biomass.

Full company description

Guangdong Chant Group Inc. operates in the environmental thermal energy business primarily in China. It engages in the biomass cogeneration, centralized coal-fired heating in industrial parks, and municipal solid waste power generation, as well as electricity and heat production and comprehensive utilization of biomass. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Zhongshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Chant Group reported revenue of ¥3.7B in FY2025 versus ¥3.1B in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥280M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.7B CNY
Latest YoY
−3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+9.0%
Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY21 ¥3.1B
FY22 ¥3.4B
FY23 ¥4.0B
FY24 ¥3.8B
FY25 ¥3.7B
Net income
FY21 −¥192M
FY22 ¥76.4M
FY23 ¥159M
FY24 ¥217M
FY25 ¥280M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Chant Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002616

Peer Group

Consumer Electronics · 129 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +30% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.86× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.16× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.17× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 73 · sector 8
FUTURE 0 · sector 13
PAST 36 · sector 10
HEALTH 57 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 29

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Apple Inc AAPL $313.33 $122.91 -61%
Samsung Electronics Co 005930 255,000 KRW 138,019 KRW -46%
Sony Group SONYN 366.00 MXN 468.94 MXN +28%
Xiaomi Corporation 1810 HK$26.88 HK$39.84 +48%
LG Electronics Inc 066570 179,000 KRW 101,531 KRW -43%
Sharetronic Data Technology Co 300857 ¥277.96 ¥35.89 -87%
Huaqin Co 603296 ¥78.20 ¥65.69 -16%
Goertek Inc 002241 ¥22.25 ¥18.86 -15%
LG Corp 003550 102,400 KRW 93,881 KRW -8%
Anker Innovations Limited 300866 ¥105.92 ¥78.52 -26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Chant Group (002616) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.10 versus a price of ¥4.69, about +30% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 002616?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Chant Group is ¥6.10 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.69.
What is the quality score of 002616?
Guangdong Chant Group has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Chant Group (002616)?
Guangdong Chant Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002616?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Chant Group is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guangdong Chant Group pay a dividend?
Guangdong Chant Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.06% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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