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Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group (002675) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 10.2B CNY

YD Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group 002675 · SHE
Price¥13.16
Fair Value¥5.16
Upside-60.8%
Quality55/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 7.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.65% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.34 – ¥6.52 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥5.22 to ¥5.16 (−1.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +4.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 61% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥3.34 to ¥6.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥21.71 ¥9.67 Fair Value ¥5.16 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.67 – ¥21.71 · fair‑value band ¥3.34 – ¥6.52 · the ¥13.16 price screens above the ¥5.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group (002675) currently trades at ¥13.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.16, implying the stock looks roughly 60.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group generated revenue of 2.7B CNY at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue declined 8.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.2%. Net debt stands at 1.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.34 (bear case) to ¥6.52 (bull case); at ¥13.16, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -61%, 002675 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.93 ¥5.93 ¥9.10 80
Residual Income ¥3.97 ¥3.95 ¥3.65 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.26 ¥6.68 ¥9.58 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.90 ¥5.94 ¥9.18 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.48 ¥1.98 ¥2.77 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.26 ¥6.72 ¥9.94 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.12 ¥10.30 ¥15.34 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.11 ¥6.43 ¥8.93 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.98 ¥6.22 ¥9.40 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.30 ¥8.76 ¥13.65 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.01 ¥6.02 ¥8.61 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.61 ¥5.81 ¥7.83 54
Lynch FV ¥1.37 ¥1.96 ¥2.55 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.37 ¥1.96 ¥2.55 46
EPV ¥4.11 ¥4.67 ¥5.17 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2800 ¥0.5700 ¥0.9100 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2800 ¥0.4800 ¥0.6000 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.91 ¥5.22 ¥6.52 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.02 ¥4.03 ¥5.04 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.02 ¥4.03 ¥5.04 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.14 ¥7.96 ¥9.77 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.98 ¥10.41 ¥12.84 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.58 ¥6.25 ¥7.92 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.64 ¥3.53 ¥5.28 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.93 ¥5.93 ¥9.10 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.26 ¥6.68 ¥9.58 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.97 ¥3.95 ¥3.65 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.11 ¥4.67 ¥5.17 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.69 ¥3.85 ¥5.00 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.22) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.4800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.8%
Net margin 7.6%
Return on equity 3.2%
Free cash flow 224M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 49.7
More key figures
Operating margin 14.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2500
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +35.0%
Net debt 1.7B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the raw materials, formulations, nuclear medicine, and big health businesses in China and internationally. It operates through API, Formulation, Radio Pharmaceutical, and Others segments.

Full company description

Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the raw materials, formulations, nuclear medicine, and big health businesses in China and internationally. It operates through API, Formulation, Radio Pharmaceutical, and Others segments. The company offers formulation products, such as powder injections, tablets, capsules, granules, and drop pills for anticoagulation, cardiovascular, anti-tumor, urology, orthopedics, and anti-infection applications. It also provides active pharmaceutical ingredients, including heparin, chondroitin sulfate sodium and calcium, hyaluronic acid, cytochrome C, and collagen, as well as glucosamine hydrochloride, glucosamine sulfate sodium chloride, and glucosamine sulfate potassium chloride; and nadroparin calcium for injection, hydrocortisone sodium succinate for injection, chorionic gonadotrophin for injection, menotropins for injection, ambroxol hydrochloride dispersible tablets, jinjunling capsules, metformin hydrochloride and glibenclamide tablets, clemastine fumarate tablets, and wind-dispelling itch-relieving granules. In addition, the company offers Technetium Methylene Diphosphonate injections; Technetium Tc=labeled tracers; 2-[18F]FDG for early diagnosis of tumors; sodium iodide oral solution; iodine seeds used for internal radiation treatment of various malignant tumors; urea capsules; and jiabaolin glucosamine chondroitin sulfate capsules. Further, it engages in trading; medical technology; medical devices; technical services; biotechnology service promotion; medical research and experimental development; business services; enterprise management, business information, and financial consulting; multimodal transport and transport agency services; capital market services; operation of local platforms for images; and engineering activities. The company exports its products to approximately 40 countries and regions. Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Yantai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group reported revenue of ¥2.7B in FY2025 versus ¥3.9B in FY2021, a compound −8.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥196M in FY2025, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.7B CNY
Latest YoY
−5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+13.4%
Revenue −8.7%/yr
FY21 ¥3.9B
FY22 ¥3.6B
FY23 ¥3.3B
FY24 ¥2.9B
FY25 ¥2.7B
Net income +6.6%/yr
FY21 ¥152M
FY22 ¥307M
FY23 ¥210M
FY24 ¥184M
FY25 ¥196M

002675 screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002675

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −61% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Revenue growth -9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 49.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.36× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.82× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 17.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 7
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 13 · sector 23
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 13 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group (002675) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.16 versus a price of ¥13.16, about −61% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002675?
Our model-based fair value for Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group is ¥5.16 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥13.16.
What is the quality score of 002675?
Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group (002675)?
Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002675?
The net profit margin of Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group is about 7.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group pay a dividend?
Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.65% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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