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Wuxi Huadong Heavy Machinery Co (002685) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.7B CNY

WH Wuxi Huadong Heavy Machinery Co 002685 · SHE
Price¥5.42
Fair Value¥1.13
Upside-79.2%
Quality51/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 7.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.04 – ¥1.37 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −10.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥10.27 ¥2.14 Fair Value ¥1.13 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.14 – ¥10.27 · fair‑value band ¥1.04 – ¥1.37 · the ¥5.42 price screens above the ¥1.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Wuxi Huadong Heavy Machinery Co (002685) currently trades at ¥5.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.13, implying the stock looks roughly 79.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wuxi Huadong Heavy Machinery Co generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue grew 156.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 665M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.04 (bear case) to ¥1.37 (bull case); at ¥5.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -79%, 002685 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥1.16 ¥1.13 ¥1.00 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.01 ¥1.06 ¥1.11 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.0200 ¥0.0300 ¥0.0300 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥0.9000 ¥0.9700 ¥1.12 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.4500 ¥0.7300 ¥0.8900 54
EPV ¥1.01 ¥1.06 ¥1.11 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0200 ¥0.0300 ¥0.0300 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0200 ¥0.0300 ¥0.0400 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.04 ¥1.39 ¥1.74 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.8400 ¥1.13 ¥1.41 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.8400 ¥1.13 ¥1.41 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.62 ¥1.94 ¥2.25 53
EV/EBITDA ¥1.76 ¥2.12 ¥2.48 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.35 ¥1.64 ¥1.93 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.7900 ¥1.06 ¥1.58 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.16 ¥1.13 ¥1.00 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.01 ¥1.06 ¥1.11 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.7400 ¥1.05 ¥1.37 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥1.39) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0300). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +157%
Net margin 7.6%
Return on equity 4.0%
Free cash flow −136M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 74.0
More key figures
Operating margin 10.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0900
EPS growth (YoY) +57.5%
Net cash 665M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wuxi Huadong Heavy Machinery Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells container handling equipment and intelligent CNC machine tools in the People's Republic of China. It provides quay cranes, rail cranes, tire cranes, etc.

Full company description

Wuxi Huadong Heavy Machinery Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells container handling equipment and intelligent CNC machine tools in the People's Republic of China. It provides quay cranes, rail cranes, tire cranes, etc. for use in the container ship loading and unloading operations in ports, railway container loading and unloading, container yard storage and trailer loading and unloading. The company offers high-end intelligent equipment that include medium and high-end CNC machine tools, etc. In addition, it engages in the research, development, manufacture, processing, sale and related services of photovoltaic equipment and components; sales, after-sales, technical research, development, and consultation of lifting machinery products; research and development, production, sales, and related services of CNC machine tools; and design, manufacture, installation, modification, and repair of special equipment; chip design and solution. Wuxi Huadong Heavy Machinery Co., Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is based in Wuxi, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wuxi Huadong Heavy Machinery Co reported revenue of ¥804M in FY2025 versus ¥7.1B in FY2021, a compound −41.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥66.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 14/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
804M CNY
Latest YoY
−32.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−18.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−36.3%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+6.9%
Revenue −41.9%/yr
FY21 ¥7.1B
FY22 ¥1.5B
FY23 ¥671M
FY24 ¥1.2B
FY25 ¥804M
Net income
FY21 −¥1.4B
FY22 −¥179M
FY23 −¥811M
FY24 ¥123M
FY25 ¥66.7M

002685 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wuxi Huadong Heavy Machinery Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002685

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 157% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 74.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.21× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.88× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 50.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 22
FUTURE 100 · sector 30
PAST 16 · sector 32
HEALTH 99 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $952.41 $307.83 -68%
Deere & Company DE $597.24 $187.86 -69%
AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA kr 336.60 kr 288.08 -14%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $126.20 $94.80 -25%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 251.90 kr 144.14 -43%
Exor N.V EXO €69.40 €219.41 +216%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥18.65 ¥20.84 +12%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥8.39 ¥11.79 +41%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$41.00 HK$53.51 +31%
Yutong Bus Co 600066 ¥32.29 ¥42.00 +30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wuxi Huadong Heavy Machinery Co (002685) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.13 versus a price of ¥5.42, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002685?
Our model-based fair value for Wuxi Huadong Heavy Machinery Co is ¥1.13 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.42.
What is the quality score of 002685?
Wuxi Huadong Heavy Machinery Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wuxi Huadong Heavy Machinery Co (002685)?
Wuxi Huadong Heavy Machinery Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002685?
The net profit margin of Wuxi Huadong Heavy Machinery Co is about 7.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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