3808 (3808) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · Market cap HK$111B
Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −3.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$20.58 – HK$47.56 · fair‑value band HK$39.57 – HK$66.80 · the HK$40.26 price screens below the HK$53.18 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.
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3808 (3808) currently trades at HK$40.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$53.18 — implying the stock looks roughly 32.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, 3808 generated revenue of HK$110B at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue grew 26.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.0%. Net debt stands at HK$3.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
3808 reported revenue of HK$110B in FY2025 versus HK$93.4B in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$7.0B in FY2025, compounding +12.9%/yr from FY2021.
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6 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $856.16 | $266.27 | -69% |
| Deere & Company DE | $598.59 | $186.23 | -69% |
| DEER DEER | C$30.59 | C$8.93 | -71% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co SNHIY | $11.25 | $2.82 | -75% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VLVLY | $33.51 | $27.98 | -17% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $120.12 | $94.80 | -21% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.