Sinotruk Hong Kong Ltd (3808) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Sinotruk Hong Kong Ltd HK$56.32, price HK$36.16, upside +55.8%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Sinotruk Hong Kong Ltd
3808 · HKClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$5.51 – HK$47.56 · fair‑value band HK$39.82 – HK$73.22 · the HK$36.16 price screens below the HK$56.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research, development, and manufacture of heavy-duty trucks (HDT), medium-heavy duty trucks, light-duty trucks (LDT), and related parts and components in Mainland China and internationally.
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Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research, development, and manufacture of heavy-duty trucks (HDT), medium-heavy duty trucks, light-duty trucks (LDT), and related parts and components in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Heavy Duty Trucks, Light Duty Trucks and Others, and Finance. The company offers HDTs under the SITRAK, HOWO, and Huanghe brands; specialty vehicles; medium-duty trucks, LDTs, buses, and other vehicles under the HOWO, Homan, and Wangpai brands; and auto-finance services to finance the end-users and the dealers. It also provides key assemblies, parts, and components, such as engines, cabins, axles, steel frames, and gearboxes. In addition, the company is involved in consultation and strategic planning in respect of the automobile market; research and development, manufacture, and sale of commercial vehicles; and truck refitting. It serves logistics, transportation, and infrastructure construction industries. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Jinan, China. Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited operates as a subsidiary of China National Heavy Duty Truck Group Company Limited.
Stock analysis
Sinotruk Hong Kong Ltd (3808) currently trades at HK$36.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$56.32, implying the stock looks roughly 35.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$78.78 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$36.16 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$12.78, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$39.82 (bear) to HK$73.22 (bull), the price of HK$36.16 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Sinotruk Hong Kong Ltd reported revenue of 110B CNY in FY2025 versus 93.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was 7.0B CNY in FY2025, compounding +12.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$99.3B (≈ $12.7B) · P/E ratio 11.8 · P/S ratio 0.76 · Dividend yield 5.0% · Net margin 6.4% · Return on equity 16.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% · Operating margin 7.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 56%, 3808 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Sinotruk Hong Kong Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 147 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $821.58 | $308.45 | −62% |
| Deere & Company DE | $690.46 | $258.17 | −63% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $111.31 | $122.44 | +10% |
| Daimler Truck Holding DTG | €42.54 | €50.36 | +18% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥17.20 | ¥20.84 | +21% |
| CNH Industrial N.V CNH | $13.06 | $8.65 | −34% |
| Traton SE 8TRA | €35.12 | €32.82 | −7% |
| Metso Oyj METSO | €17.08 | €18.79 | +10% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥7.17 | ¥14.52 | +103% |
| Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY | ₹159.08 | ₹118.01 | −26% |
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Key figures of Sinotruk Hong Kong Ltd
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