Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Jinfu Technology Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.62 – ¥77.62 · fair‑value band ¥3.62 – ¥7.45 · the ¥48.98 price screens above the ¥5.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
JinFu Technology Co., Ltd. primarily engages in the research and development, production, and sales of plastic packaging products in China and internationally. The company offers plastic anti-theft bottle caps, other plastic packaging fields, and other types of bottle caps, as well as metal pull ring cover and handle.
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JinFu Technology Co., Ltd. primarily engages in the research and development, production, and sales of plastic packaging products in China and internationally. The company offers plastic anti-theft bottle caps, other plastic packaging fields, and other types of bottle caps, as well as metal pull ring cover and handle. It also offers bottle, including drinking water type, seasoning type, medical type, and BIB type. The company serves beverage industry, including the packaged drinking water industry. JinFu Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is based in Dongguan, China.
Stock analysis
Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018) currently trades at ¥48.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.39, implying the stock looks roughly 809.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥6.60 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥48.98 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.13, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥3.62 (bear) to ¥7.45 (bull), the price of ¥48.98 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Jinfu Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 760M CNY in FY2025 versus 659M CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 101M CNY in FY2025, compounding −4.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 16.2B CNY (≈ $2.4B) · P/E ratio 132.4 · P/S ratio 17.6 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3700 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 13.3% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 362% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −89%, 003018 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥3.62Fair Value ¥5.39Bull ¥7.45
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2605 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−4% vs −4%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 16%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+59.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Jinfu Technology Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 275 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth14% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)132.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B10.12× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)20.68× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF39.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA71.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 13
FUTURE (revenue growth)68· sector 6
PAST (return on equity)24· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)10· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jinfu Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/003018
Frequently asked questions
Is Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.39 versus a price of ¥48.98, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 003018?
Our model-based fair value for Jinfu Technology Co Ltd is ¥5.39 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥48.98.
What is the quality score of 003018?
Jinfu Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.39 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.62, optimistic scenario ¥7.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jinfu Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.39, about −89% upside versus a price of ¥48.98 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.62, optimistic scenario ¥7.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
Jinfu Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 783M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Jinfu Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Jinfu Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.51% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jinfu Technology Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +59.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.1 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 003018 use?
Our models discount Jinfu Technology Co Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.97, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Jinfu Technology Co Ltd that is +59.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Jinfu Technology Co Ltd grew +8.1 % a year. The price currently implies +59.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (+59.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.48 %: that much free cash flow Jinfu Technology Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jinfu Technology Co Ltd it is ¥5.39 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥48.98. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jinfu Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 003018 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥48.98, fair value ¥5.39, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 003018?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥48.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.39). For Jinfu Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥43.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jinfu Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Jinfu Technology Co Ltd at about 16.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥48.98; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.39 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 003018?
Our models span a range for Jinfu Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.62, base ¥5.39, optimistic ¥7.45 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥48.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 003018?
Jinfu Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 132.4 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥5.39 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 10.1, P/S 20.7, EV/EBITDA 71.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 6.0%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 003018 from its 52-week high?
Jinfu Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥48.98, about 32% below its 52-week high of ¥71.56 and 362% above the low of ¥10.60 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jinfu Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor plc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jinfu Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥48.98, calculated fair value ¥5.39 (−89%), Quality Score 58/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 003018 calculated?
We run Jinfu Technology Co Ltd through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥5.39, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Jinfu Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Jinfu Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥3.62 to ¥7.45) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
The market capitalisation of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd is 16.2B CNY (≈ $2.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd is 17.6 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
Earnings per share at Jinfu Technology Co Ltd are ¥0.3700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 132.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
The dividend yield of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd is 0.5% (payout 68.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
The net margin of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd is 13.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd is 8.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
The operating margin of Jinfu Technology Co Ltd is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
Revenue at Jinfu Technology Co Ltd is growing +13.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018)?
Earnings per share at Jinfu Technology Co Ltd are growing −20.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Jinfu Technology Co Ltd (003018) hold?
Jinfu Technology Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 65.1M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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