JinFu Technology Co (003018) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 16.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated today
Share price −42.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range ¥10.92 – ¥77.62 · fair‑value band ¥3.94 – ¥7.97 · the ¥37.91 price screens above the ¥5.73 fair value. As of Jul 22, 2026.
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JinFu Technology Co (003018) currently trades at ¥37.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.73, implying the stock looks roughly 84.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, JinFu Technology Co generated revenue of 783M CNY at a net margin of 12.3%. Revenue grew 13.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 65.1M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.94 (bear case) to ¥7.97 (bull case); at ¥37.91, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 258% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -85%, 003018 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
JinFu Technology Co., Ltd. primarily engages in the research and development, production, and sales of plastic packaging products in China and internationally. The company offers plastic anti-theft bottle caps, other plastic packaging fields, and other types of bottle caps, as well as metal pull ring cover and handle. It also offers bottle, including drinking water type, seasoning type, medical type, and BIB type. The company serves beverage industry, including the packaged drinking water industry. JinFu Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is based in Dongguan, China.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
JinFu Technology Co reported revenue of ¥760M in FY2025 versus ¥659M in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥101M in FY2025, compounding −4.5%/yr from FY2021.
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10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF | $44.23 | $22.88 | -48% |
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $38.95 | $62.16 | +60% |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $222.82 | $105.48 | -53% |
| Amcor plc AMC | A$58.69 | A$18.33 | -69% |
| International Paper Company IP | $36.89 | $84.00 | +128% |
| Ball Corporation B1LL34 | R$141.68 | R$104.18 | -26% |
| Avery Dennison Corporation A1VY34 | R$405.00 | R$217.71 | -46% |
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 106.40 | kr 10.71 | -90% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥33.57 | ¥23.95 | -29% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 25.00 THB | 12.30 THB | -51% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.