Rich Goldman Holdings (0070) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$96.9M
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$0.0600 to HK$0.0570 (−5.0%) since Jul 1, 2026.
A solid business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
- Our model range runs from HK$0.0432 (bear) to HK$0.0662 (bull), base HK$0.0570. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with low evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0350 – HK$0.2230 · fair‑value band HK$0.0432 – HK$0.0662 · the HK$0.0490 price screens below the HK$0.0570 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Rich Goldman Holdings (0070) currently trades at HK$0.0490, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0570, implying the stock looks roughly 16.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Rich Goldman Holdings generated revenue of HK$123M at a net margin of -40.4%. Revenue declined 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.7%. Net debt stands at HK$26.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0432 (bear case) to HK$0.0662 (bull case); at HK$0.0490, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 16%, 0070 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.3400) versus Multiples (HK$0.1200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Rich Goldman Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the money lending business in the People Republic of China, and Hong Kong. The company involved in the money lending activities; hotel operations; and property investment and leasing business.
Full company description
Rich Goldman Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the money lending business in the People Republic of China, and Hong Kong. The company involved in the money lending activities; hotel operations; and property investment and leasing business. Rich Goldman Holdings Limited was formerly known as Neptune Group Limited and changed its name to Rich Goldman Holdings Limited in September 2017. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Rich Goldman Holdings reported revenue of HK$128M in FY2025 versus HK$51.1M in FY2021, a compound +25.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$98.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Resorts & Casinos · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $44.79 | $52.27 | +17% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$34.20 | HK$41.44 | +21% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$13.08 | HK$2.05 | -84% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $46.13 | $13.70 | -70% |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $97.05 | $69.39 | -29% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $64.75 | $17.09 | -74% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $87.64 | $151.24 | +73% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.91 | $80.92 | +171% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6200 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +11% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $150.14 | $125.02 | -17% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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