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Hwacheon Machinery Co (010660) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · KR · Market cap 58.0B KRW

HM Hwacheon Machinery Co 010660 · KO
Price2,915 KRW
Fair Value2,136 KRW
Upside-26.7%
Quality43/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -2.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.77% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 18/100
Evidence: Medium Range 1,602 KRW – 2,670 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +8.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2,670 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

8,831 KRW 2,167 KRW Fair Value 2,136 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2,167 KRW – 8,831 KRW · fair‑value band 1,602 KRW – 2,670 KRW · the 2,915 KRW price screens above the 2,136 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Hwacheon Machinery Co (010660) currently trades at 2,915 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,136 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 26.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hwacheon Machinery Co generated revenue of 176B KRW at a net margin of -2.0%. Revenue declined 37.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.9%. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1,602 KRW (bear case) to 2,670 KRW (bull case); at 2,915 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -27%, 010660 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 4,526 KRW 4,288 KRW 3,362 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 287.70 KRW 295.92 KRW 303.11 KRW 72
Growth-Adj P/E 1,397 KRW 1,996 KRW 2,595 KRW 68
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 854.40 KRW 1,044 KRW 1,175 KRW 54
EPV 287.70 KRW 295.92 KRW 303.11 KRW 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,979 KRW 2,639 KRW 3,298 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 1,602 KRW 2,136 KRW 2,670 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 1,602 KRW 2,136 KRW 2,670 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 370.38 KRW 414.37 KRW 458.36 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 2,998 KRW 3,917 KRW 4,837 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 332.60 KRW 372.97 KRW 413.33 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3,223 KRW 4,319 KRW 6,446 KRW 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 4,526 KRW 4,288 KRW 3,362 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 287.70 KRW 295.92 KRW 303.11 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1,397 KRW 1,996 KRW 2,595 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (4,319 KRW) versus Earnings-Based (295.92 KRW). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 176B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) -37.0%
Net margin -2.0%
Return on equity -2.9%
Free cash flow −21.6B KRW FY2025
Operating margin -5.1%
More key figures
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -21.3%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hwacheon Machinery Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells machine tools, and automobile parts and components in Korea. The company offers lathes, milling machines, drilling machines, shapers, NC machine tools, and special-purpose machines, as well as automotive parts.

Full company description

Hwacheon Machinery Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells machine tools, and automobile parts and components in Korea. The company offers lathes, milling machines, drilling machines, shapers, NC machine tools, and special-purpose machines, as well as automotive parts. It also provides cylinder blocks, cylinder heads, and crankshafts; robot parts, machine tool parts, railway vehicle parts, semiconductor equipment parts, corrosion resistant parts; stainless pickling electrode plates, electrocorrosion electrodes, ship engine parts, solar power equipment parts, and other industrial machinery parts. The company markets and sells its products in the United States, Asia, and Europe. Hwacheon Machinery Co., Ltd. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hwacheon Machinery Co reported revenue of 215B KRW in FY2025 versus 176B KRW in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was 2.8B KRW in FY2025, compounding −15.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 41/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
215B KRW
Latest YoY
−7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.6%
Revenue +5.1%/yr
FY21 176B KRW
FY22 190B KRW
FY23 162B KRW
FY24 232B KRW
FY25 215B KRW
Net income −15.3%/yr
FY21 5.4B KRW
FY22 3.6B KRW
FY23 768M KRW
FY24 5.9B KRW
FY25 2.8B KRW

010660 screens 27% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hwacheon Machinery Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/010660

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −27% · Above median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -37% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 15 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hwacheon Machinery Co (010660) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,136 KRW versus a price of 2,915 KRW, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 010660?
Our model-based fair value for Hwacheon Machinery Co is 2,136 KRW (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2,915 KRW.
What is the quality score of 010660?
Hwacheon Machinery Co has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hwacheon Machinery Co (010660)?
Hwacheon Machinery Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 176B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 010660?
The net profit margin of Hwacheon Machinery Co is about -2.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hwacheon Machinery Co pay a dividend?
Hwacheon Machinery Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.69% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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