Lotte Chemical Corp (011170) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Lotte Chemical Corp KRW 157,933, price KRW 60,200, upside +162.4%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 51,938 KRW – 263,684 KRW · fair‑value band 117,861 KRW – 235,721 KRW · the 60,200 KRW price screens below the 157,933 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Lotte Chemical Corporation, a chemical company, manufactures and distributes petrochemical products in South Korea and internationally.
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Lotte Chemical Corporation, a chemical company, manufactures and distributes petrochemical products in South Korea and internationally. The company offers basic chemicals, including high-density polyethylene, linear low-density polyethylene, low-density polyethylene, and ethylene-vinyl acetate; polypropylene injection, blow, yarn/fiber, film, and transparent-impact resistance polypropylene; and cool, bio, and clear polyethylene terephthalate. It also provides monomer products for construction, textile, and industrial products; and basic petrochemicals. In addition, the company offers advanced materials comprising general acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS), extrusion ABS, flame retardant ABS, heat resistance ABS, and metal plating/painting ABS; transparent MABS, scratch resistant MABS, general ABS/GF, and flame retardant ABS/GF; weatherability ASA, ASA/PMMA, high weatherable ABS, luminous, medical, antimicrobial, and eco-friendly ABS and ABS/PET; engineering plastics; and performance materials. Further, it provides construction and interior materials and mobility materials; chlorine relatives, ammonia relatives, and other products; green materials for industrial use, as well as food and pharmaceutical materials. Additionally, the company engages in battery materials and hydrogen energy businesses; and offers recycled plastic and bio-plastic. The company sells its products under the starex, INFINO, Radianz, Locelain, Popelen, Supran, Adpoly, Lottmer, EUROX, MECELLOSE, AnyCoat, AnyAddy, and ECOSEED brand names. The company was formerly known as Honam Petrochemical Corporation and changed its name to Lotte Chemical Corporation in December 2012. Lotte Chemical Corporation was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Stock analysis
Lotte Chemical Corp (011170) currently trades at 60,200 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 157,933 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 61.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 117,861 KRW (bear) to 235,721 KRW (bull), the price of 60,200 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Lotte Chemical Corp reported revenue of 18.5T KRW in FY2025 versus 18.1T KRW in FY2021, a compound +0.5%/yr. Reported net income was −2.0T KRW in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.5T KRW (≈ $1.9B) · P/S ratio 0.14 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin −11.0% · Return on equity −11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.6% · Operating margin 1.5% · Revenue (TTM) 18.6T KRW.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 162%, 011170 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 117,861 KRWFair Value 157,933 KRWBull 235,721 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.7% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.9% (2020) → −5.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 347 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+162.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−9.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)1.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.39× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lotte Chemical Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/011170
Frequently asked questions
Is Lotte Chemical Corp (011170) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 157,933 KRW versus a price of 60,200 KRW, about +162% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 011170?
Our model-based fair value for Lotte Chemical Corp is 157,933 KRW (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 60,200 KRW.
What is the quality score of 011170?
Lotte Chemical Corp has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lotte Chemical Corp (011170)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 157,933 KRW (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 117,861 KRW, optimistic scenario 235,721 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lotte Chemical Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 157,933 KRW, about +162% upside versus a price of 60,200 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 117,861 KRW, optimistic scenario 235,721 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lotte Chemical Corp (011170)?
Lotte Chemical Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.6T KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Lotte Chemical Corp pay a dividend?
Lotte Chemical Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.66% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lotte Chemical Corp (011170)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lotte Chemical Corp it is 157,933 KRW per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 60,200 KRW. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lotte Chemical Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 011170 trades below its calculated fair value: price 60,200 KRW, fair value 157,933 KRW, a gap of about +162% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 011170?
No. The price is what the market pays today (60,200 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (157,933 KRW). For Lotte Chemical Corp the two are 97,733 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lotte Chemical Corp worth?
The market values Lotte Chemical Corp at about 2.5T KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 60,200 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 157,933 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 011170?
Our models span a range for Lotte Chemical Corp: cautious scenario 117,861 KRW, base 157,933 KRW, optimistic 235,721 KRW per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 60,200 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lotte Chemical Corp (011170)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lotte Chemical Corp (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −11.5%, debt of 0.39 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 011170 from its 52-week high?
Lotte Chemical Corp trades at 60,200 KRW, about 49% below its 52-week high of 118,000 KRW and 12% above the low of 53,700 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 157,933 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lotte Chemical Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, Hengli Petrochemical Co, Zangge Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lotte Chemical Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 60,200 KRW, calculated fair value 157,933 KRW (+162%), Quality Score 30/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 011170 calculated?
We run Lotte Chemical Corp through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 157,933 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Lotte Chemical Corp currently trades 162 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lotte Chemical Corp (011170)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 60,200 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 157,933 KRW, about +162% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lotte Chemical Corp right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (117,861 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (117,861 KRW to 235,721 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Lotte Chemical Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Lotte Chemical Corp (011170)?
The market capitalisation of Lotte Chemical Corp is 2.5T KRW (≈ $1.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lotte Chemical Corp (011170)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lotte Chemical Corp is 0.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Lotte Chemical Corp (011170)?
The dividend yield of Lotte Chemical Corp is 1.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lotte Chemical Corp (011170)?
The net margin of Lotte Chemical Corp is −11.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lotte Chemical Corp (011170)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lotte Chemical Corp is −11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lotte Chemical Corp (011170)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lotte Chemical Corp is −0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lotte Chemical Corp (011170)?
The operating margin of Lotte Chemical Corp is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lotte Chemical Corp (011170)?
Revenue at Lotte Chemical Corp is growing +1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lotte Chemical Corp (011170)?
Earnings per share at Lotte Chemical Corp are growing +111% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Lotte Chemical Corp (011170) generate?
The free cash flow of Lotte Chemical Corp is −1.1T KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lotte Chemical Corp (011170) carry?
The net debt of Lotte Chemical Corp is 7.5T KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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