Shui On Land Limited (0272) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$3.7B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$0.2500 to HK$0.2700 (+8.0%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price −7.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 44% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3900). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.4400 – HK$0.9897 · fair‑value band HK$0.2700 – HK$0.3900 · the HK$0.4800 price screens above the HK$0.2700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Shui On Land Limited (0272) currently trades at HK$0.4800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2700, implying the stock looks roughly 43.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shui On Land Limited generated revenue of HK$4.1B at a net margin of -43.5%. Revenue declined 66.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.3%. Net debt stands at HK$28.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2700 (bear case) to HK$0.3900 (bull case); at HK$0.4800, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -44%, 0272 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$3.05) versus Multiples (HK$0.0500). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shui On Land Limited, an investment holding company, develops and sells properties in the People's Republic of China. It operates through four segments: Property Development, Property Investment, Property Management, and Construction. The company develops and sells residential and commercial properties; and leases offices and commercial/mall properties.
Full company description
Shui On Land Limited, an investment holding company, develops and sells properties in the People's Republic of China. It operates through four segments: Property Development, Property Investment, Property Management, and Construction. The company develops and sells residential and commercial properties; and leases offices and commercial/mall properties. It also provides property management services; construction, interior fitting-out, renovation, and maintenance services for building premises; debt financing and management services; and asset management. Shui On Land Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shui On Land Limited reported revenue of HK$4.1B in FY2025 versus HK$17.6B in FY2021, a compound −30.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.8B in FY2025.
0272 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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