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Sipai Health Technology Co (0314) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$977M

SH Sipai Health Technology Co 0314 · HK
PriceHK$1.41
Fair ValueHK$0.3900
Upside-72.3%
Quality54/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -6.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.3900 – HK$0.3900 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +1.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 72% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3900). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

HK$42.10 HK$1.18 Fair Value HK$0.3900 Dec 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

44‑month range HK$1.18 – HK$42.10 · the HK$1.41 price screens above the HK$0.3900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Sipai Health Technology Co (0314) currently trades at HK$1.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3900, implying the stock looks roughly 72.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sipai Health Technology Co generated revenue of HK$2.1B at a net margin of -6.0%. Revenue declined 61.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$284M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

The share trades about 80% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -72%, 0314 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.4200 HK$0.4200 HK$0.4300 80
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.6400 HK$0.8600 HK$1.28 50
EV/Revenue HK$0.4200 HK$0.4200 HK$0.4200 43
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.4200 HK$0.4200 HK$0.4300 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.4200 HK$0.4200 HK$0.4200 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.4200 HK$0.4200 HK$0.4300 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.4200 HK$0.4200 HK$0.4200 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.6400 HK$0.8600 HK$1.28 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.4200 HK$0.4200 HK$0.4300 80

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.8600) versus DCF Models (HK$0.4200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -61.5%
Net margin -6.0%
Return on equity -12.1%
Free cash flow HK$127K FY2025
Operating margin -3.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.1200
Net cash HK$284M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sipai Health Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a medical technology and health management company in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through three segments: Specialty Pharmacy Business, Physician Research Assistance Business, and Health Insurance Services Business.

Full company description

Sipai Health Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a medical technology and health management company in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through three segments: Specialty Pharmacy Business, Physician Research Assistance Business, and Health Insurance Services Business. The Specialty Pharmacy Business segment provides specialty pharmacies and value-added professional pharmacist services; focuses on innovative medicines for the treatment of oncology; pharmaceutical supply chain network for health insurance services; and other critical illnesses. The Physician Research Assistance Business segment offers pharmaceutical companies and other clinical trial institutions site management organization services, including site feasibility, site initiation, patient recruitment, patient management, data entry and document management, on-site drug management and bio-sample management, site closure, and others; and services for image management in clinical trials. The Health Insurance Services Business segment provides insurance brokerage services to insurance companies; and health management services to insurance carriers and enterprise clients. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Putuo, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sipai Health Technology Co reported revenue of HK$2.0B in FY2025 versus HK$3.5B in FY2021, a compound −12.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$121M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$2.0B
Latest YoY
−55.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+46.7%
Revenue −12.7%/yr
FY21 HK$3.5B
FY22 HK$4.1B
FY23 HK$4.7B
FY24 HK$4.6B
FY25 HK$2.0B
Net income
FY21 −HK$3.7B
FY22 −HK$1.4B
FY23 −HK$256M
FY24 −HK$324M
FY25 −HK$121M

0314 screens 72% overvalued. Compare with McKesson Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sipai Health Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0314

Peer Group

Medical Distribution · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −72% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -62% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 980.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 31
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 0 · sector 22
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McKesson Corporation MCK $878.73 $819.31 -7%
Cencora, Inc COR $314.17 $211.07 -33%
Cardinal Health, Inc CAH $234.16 $141.77 -39%
Henry Schein, Inc HSIC $90.74 $71.70 -21%
Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding 601607 ¥16.56 ¥33.96 +105%
Sinopharm Group 1099 HK$16.75 HK$58.67 +250%
Galenica AG GALE CHF 80.85 CHF 61.79 -24%
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings 600332 ¥21.49 ¥28.65 +33%
Jointown Pharmaceutical Group 600998 ¥5.04 ¥9.84 +95%
Asker Healthcare Group ASKER kr 80.00 kr 28.26 -65%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sipai Health Technology Co (0314) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3900 versus a price of HK$1.41, about −72% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0314?
Our model-based fair value for Sipai Health Technology Co is HK$0.3900 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.41.
What is the quality score of 0314?
Sipai Health Technology Co has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sipai Health Technology Co (0314)?
Sipai Health Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0314?
The net profit margin of Sipai Health Technology Co is about -6.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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