Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd HK$0.28, price HK$0.36, upside -21.1%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0990 – HK$1.28 · fair‑value band HK$0.2000 – HK$0.3500 · the HK$0.3550 price screens above the HK$0.2800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 5 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Sino ICT Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells surface mount technology (SMT) and semiconductor equipment in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company operates through Production and Sales of Industrial Products, and Energy Business segments.
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Sino ICT Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells surface mount technology (SMT) and semiconductor equipment in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company operates through Production and Sales of Industrial Products, and Energy Business segments. It is also involved in the sales of electricity; and provision of electricity spot market transaction and auxiliary services. In addition, the company engages in the provision for agency; and research and development, and sales of advanced domestic radar hardware and integration of intelligent software services. Its SMT equipment are used in automotive electronics, electronic machinery, household appliances, medical treatment, railway transportation, military, communications, logistics and finance, and other fields. The company was formerly known as Unisplendour Technology (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Sino ICT Holdings Limited in December 2019. The company was founded in 1984 and is based in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong. Sino ICT Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Sino Xin Ding Limited.
Stock analysis
Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365) currently trades at HK$0.3550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2800, implying the stock looks roughly 26.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.3200 per share, and 5 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.3550 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0700, and 19 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.2000 (bear) to HK$0.3500 (bull), the price of HK$0.3550 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sino ICT Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$338M in FY2025 versus HK$323M in FY2021, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$19.2M in FY2025, compounding −15.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$815M (≈ $104M) · P/E ratio 56.0 · P/S ratio 3.19 · Net margin 5.7% · Return on equity 9.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin 17.5% · Revenue (TTM) HK$338M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −21%, 0365 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.2000Fair Value HK$0.2800Bull HK$0.3500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+36.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.4% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−7.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8% vs 11%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 13%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 19.6%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 828 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−13% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)18% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth53% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.50× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
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Is Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2800 versus a price of HK$0.3550, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0365?
Our model-based fair value for Sino ICT Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2800 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3550.
What is the quality score of 0365?
Sino ICT Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2800 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2000, optimistic scenario HK$0.3500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sino ICT Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2800, about −21% upside versus a price of HK$0.3550 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2000, optimistic scenario HK$0.3500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365)?
Sino ICT Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$338M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sino ICT Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +13.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0365 use?
Our models discount Sino ICT Holdings Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.09, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sino ICT Holdings Ltd that is +13.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sino ICT Holdings Ltd grew +4.5 % a year. The price currently implies +13.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (+13.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.97 %: that much free cash flow Sino ICT Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sino ICT Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.2800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3550. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sino ICT Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0365 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3550, fair value HK$0.2800, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0365?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3550); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2800). For Sino ICT Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0750 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sino ICT Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Sino ICT Holdings Ltd at about HK$815M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3550; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0365?
Our models span a range for Sino ICT Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2000, base HK$0.2800, optimistic HK$0.3500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$0.3550). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0365?
Sino ICT Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 56.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.2800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.3, P/S 2.4, EV/EBITDA 12.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.3%, debt of 1.50 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0365 from its 52-week high?
Sino ICT Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.3550, about 72% below its 52-week high of HK$1.28 and 54% above the low of HK$0.2300 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sino ICT Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sino ICT Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.3550, calculated fair value HK$0.2800 (−21%), Quality Score 69/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0365 calculated?
We run Sino ICT Holdings Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Sino ICT Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$0.3550. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2800, about −21% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sino ICT Holdings Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365)?
The market capitalisation of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd is HK$815M (≈ $104M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd is 3.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365)?
The net margin of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd is 5.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd is 9.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365)?
The operating margin of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd is 17.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365)?
Revenue at Sino ICT Holdings Ltd is growing +53.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365)?
Earnings per share at Sino ICT Holdings Ltd are growing +5.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sino ICT Holdings Ltd (0365) carry?
The net debt of Sino ICT Holdings Ltd is HK$272M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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