Dynasty Digital Holdings (0451) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · HK · Market cap HK$1.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −15.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.4080). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0935 to HK$0.4080). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3000 – HK$8.30 · fair‑value band HK$0.0935 – HK$0.4080 · the HK$0.6750 price screens above the HK$0.2465 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Dynasty Digital Holdings (0451) currently trades at HK$0.6750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2465, implying the stock looks roughly 63.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$1.1B. Revenue declined 33.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -25.6%. Net debt stands at HK$552M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0935 (bear case) to HK$0.4080 (bull case); at HK$0.6750, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -63%, 0451 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.3000) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Dynasty Digital Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, develops, constructs, operates, and manages solar power plants in the People's Republic of China, the United States, and internationally. It also engages in the sale of electricity and liquified natural gas and related products.
Full company description
Dynasty Digital Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, develops, constructs, operates, and manages solar power plants in the People's Republic of China, the United States, and internationally. It also engages in the sale of electricity and liquified natural gas and related products. In addition, the company is involved in investment in petroleum infrastructure projects, as well as provision of related technical and consultancy services. The company was formerly known as GCL New Energy Holdings Limited and changed its name to Dynasty Digital Holdings Limited in May 2026. Dynasty Digital Holdings Limited was founded in 1982 and is based in Kowloon, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Dynasty Digital Holdings reported revenue of HK$1.0B in FY2025 versus HK$2.8B in FY2021, a compound −22.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.1B in FY2025.
0451 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥28.02 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 148.25 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.69 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | -87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.54 | -11% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €56.80 | €66.19 | +17% |
| BEP BEP | $34.23 | $70.40 | +106% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥15.92 | ¥7.55 | -53% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥13.95 | ¥16.63 | +19% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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