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Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd HK$0.18, price HK$0.20, upside -8.2%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Technology · HK · ISIN BMG7305Q1024

QH Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Qingdao Holdings International Ltd

0499 · HK

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value HK$0.1800 · Fairly valued (−8.2%)

!Quality 35/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −16.0 %/yr)

!Loss-making · -169.0% net margin (TTM)

!Low debt · negative free cash flow

!Trails peers (4/11)

!Narrow moat 1/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on valuation: 22 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear HK$0.1300 to bull HK$0.2700 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 35/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0640 – HK$0.4200 · fair‑value band HK$0.1300 – HK$0.2700 · the HK$0.1960 price screens above the HK$0.1800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 4 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Qingdao Holdings International Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells education equipment in Hong Kong and Mainland China. It operates through four segments: Leasing of Properties; Production and Sale of Technology Product; Financial Service; and Consulting Service. The company leases residential, industrial, and commercial premises. It also engages in the research and development, production, and sale of digital Chinese calligraphy education equipment, along with relevant learning and tutorial systems. In addition, the company provides loan financing services to individuals or corporate customers; and construction project supervision, project cost, and bidding consulting services. Further, it is involved in property investment activities. The company was formerly known as HyComm Wireless Limited and changed its name to Qingdao Holdings International Limited in November 2014. The company is headquartered in Hong Kong, Hong Kong. Qingdao Holdings International Limited is a subsidiary of China Qingdao Development (Holdings) Group Company Limited.

Stock analysis

Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499) currently trades at HK$0.1960, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1800, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.9%).

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 86/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1300 (bear) to HK$0.2700 (bull), the price of HK$0.1960 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Qingdao Holdings International Ltd reported revenue of 32.6M CNY in FY2026 versus 69.3M CNY in FY2022, a compound −17.2%/yr. Reported net income was −42.5M CNY in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap HK$196M (≈ $24.9M) · P/S ratio 6.96 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100 · Net margin −130% · Return on equity −16.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.5% · Operating margin −81.2% · Revenue (TTM) HK$25.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 102% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −8%, 0499 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1300 Fair Value HK$0.1800 Bull HK$0.2700

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1400 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2800 53

All 1 models by family

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1400 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2800 53

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 1

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 10

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 0

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 71

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 100

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 50

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 85

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 83

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100

Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Revenue growth 1 year

−26.4%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−16.8%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−16.0%

Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +28.7% a year

Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−3.9%

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

27.6% (2021) → −36.6% (2026)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

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Compare Qingdao Holdings International Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Consumer Electronics · 125 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −8.2% · Above median

Profitability

Return on assets −1.8% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) −169.0% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (TTM) −81.2% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −7.3% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.11× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.97× · Pricier than median

PEG 0.85× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)22 · sector 10

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 7

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20

HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 96

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Anker Innovations Limited 300866	¥122.60	¥77.69	−37%
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Qingdao Holdings International Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.1800 −8%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0499" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Qingdao Holdings International Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$0.1800</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−8%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Qingdao Holdings International Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0499

Frequently asked questions

Is Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1800 versus a price of HK$0.1960, about −8% upside (fairly valued).

What is the fair value of 0499?

Our model-based fair value for Qingdao Holdings International Ltd is HK$0.1800 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1960.

What is the quality score of 0499?

Qingdao Holdings International Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1800 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1300, optimistic scenario HK$0.2700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Qingdao Holdings International Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$0.1800, about −8% upside versus a price of HK$0.1960 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1300, optimistic scenario HK$0.2700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499)?

Qingdao Holdings International Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$25.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Qingdao Holdings International Ltd it is HK$0.1800 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1960. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Qingdao Holdings International Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, 0499 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1960, fair value HK$0.1800, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 0499?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1960); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1800). For Qingdao Holdings International Ltd the two are HK$0.0160 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Qingdao Holdings International Ltd worth?

The market values Qingdao Holdings International Ltd at about HK$196M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1960; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1800 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0499?

Our models span a range for Qingdao Holdings International Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1300, base HK$0.1800, optimistic HK$0.2700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1960). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the PEG ratio of 0499?

The PEG ratio of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd is 0.85 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.

How solid is the balance sheet of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499)?

Balance-sheet figures for Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −16.4%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 0499 from its 52-week high?

Qingdao Holdings International Ltd trades at HK$0.1960, about 18% below its 52-week high of HK$0.2400 and 102% above the low of HK$0.0970 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1800 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Qingdao Holdings International Ltd?

From the same area (Technology) we also value Samsung Electronics Co, Sony Group, Xiaomi Corporation, LG Electronics Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Qingdao Holdings International Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1960, calculated fair value HK$0.1800 (−8%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 0499 calculated?

We run Qingdao Holdings International Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Qingdao Holdings International Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499)?

The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.1960. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1800, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Qingdao Holdings International Ltd right now?

The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1300 to HK$0.2700) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499)?

The market capitalisation of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd is HK$196M (≈ $24.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd is 6.96 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499)?

Earnings per share at Qingdao Holdings International Ltd are HK$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499)?

The net margin of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd is −130% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd is −16.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd is −0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499)?

The operating margin of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd is −81.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499)?

Revenue at Qingdao Holdings International Ltd is growing −7.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499)?

Earnings per share at Qingdao Holdings International Ltd are growing −45.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499) generate?

The free cash flow of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd is −HK$16.1M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Qingdao Holdings International Ltd (0499) carry?

The net debt of Qingdao Holdings International Ltd is HK$230M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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