Qingdao Holdings (0499) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$180M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.4700 to HK$0.4330 (−7.9%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price −8.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 159% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2500). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2500 to HK$0.5730) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0640 – HK$0.5200 · fair‑value band HK$0.2500 – HK$0.5730 · the HK$0.1670 price screens below the HK$0.4330 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Qingdao Holdings (0499) currently trades at HK$0.1670, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4330, implying the stock looks roughly 159.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$25.8M. Revenue declined 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -16.4%. Net debt stands at HK$230M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2500 (bear case) to HK$0.5730 (bull case); at HK$0.1670, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at 159%, 0499 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.6200) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1600). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Qingdao Holdings International Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells education equipment in Hong Kong and Mainland China. It operates through four segments: Leasing of Properties; Production and Sale of Technology Product; Financial Service; and Consulting Service. The company leases residential, industrial, and commercial premises.
Full company description
Qingdao Holdings International Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells education equipment in Hong Kong and Mainland China. It operates through four segments: Leasing of Properties; Production and Sale of Technology Product; Financial Service; and Consulting Service. The company leases residential, industrial, and commercial premises. It also engages in the research and development, production, and sale of digital Chinese calligraphy education equipment, along with relevant learning and tutorial systems. In addition, the company provides loan financing services to individuals or corporate customers; and construction project supervision, project cost, and bidding consulting services. Further, it is involved in property investment activities. The company was formerly known as HyComm Wireless Limited and changed its name to Qingdao Holdings International Limited in November 2014. The company is headquartered in Hong Kong, Hong Kong. Qingdao Holdings International Limited is a subsidiary of China Qingdao Development (Holdings) Group Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Qingdao Holdings reported revenue of HK$32.6M in FY2026 versus HK$69.3M in FY2022, a compound −17.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$42.5M in FY2026.
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Peer Group
Consumer Electronics · 128 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Inc AAPL | $304.91 | $172.19 | -44% |
| Samsung Electronics Co 005930 | 255,500 KRW | 163,160 KRW | -36% |
| Sony Group SONYN | 366.00 MXN | 303.26 MXN | -17% |
| Xiaomi Corporation 1810 | HK$25.88 | HK$44.26 | +71% |
| LG Electronics Inc 066570 | 205,000 KRW | 98,149 KRW | -52% |
| Sharetronic Data Technology Co 300857 | ¥249.80 | ¥35.52 | -86% |
| Huaqin Co 603296 | ¥79.02 | ¥39.69 | -50% |
| Goertek Inc 002241 | ¥22.56 | ¥21.02 | -7% |
| LG Corp 003550 | 113,700 KRW | 89,984 KRW | -21% |
| Shenzhen Transsion Holdings 688036 | ¥56.29 | ¥56.82 | +1% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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