Goldlion Holdings (0533) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$876M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −2.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.4500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.4300 to HK$0.4500), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.8090 – HK$1.45 · fair‑value band HK$0.4300 – HK$0.4500 · the HK$0.8900 price screens above the HK$0.4400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Goldlion Holdings (0533) currently trades at HK$0.8900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4400, implying the stock looks roughly 50.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Goldlion Holdings generated revenue of HK$1.1B at a net margin of -3.7%. Revenue declined 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$394M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4300 (bear case) to HK$0.4500 (bull case); at HK$0.8900, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at -51%, 0533 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$3.06) versus Multiples (HK$0.5100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Goldlion Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and distributes apparel in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong SAR, and Singapore. It operates through three segments: Apparel in China Mainland and Hong Kong SAR, Apparel in Singapore, and Property Investment and Development.
Full company description
Goldlion Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and distributes apparel in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong SAR, and Singapore. It operates through three segments: Apparel in China Mainland and Hong Kong SAR, Apparel in Singapore, and Property Investment and Development. The company offers garments, leather goods, and accessories, as well as licenses its brand name; invests, develops, and manages properties. It also engages in photovoltaic business. The company offers its products through distributors, self-operated retail shops, and factory outlets, as well as through e-commerce and custom ordering. Goldlion Holdings Limited was founded in 1968 and is based in Sha Tin, Hong Kong. Goldlion Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Top Grade Healthcare Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Goldlion Holdings reported revenue of HK$1.1B in FY2025 versus HK$1.4B in FY2021, a compound −5.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$39.2M in FY2025.
of which total revenue −2.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
0533 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB →
Peer Group
Apparel Manufacturing · 213 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB | kr 174.25 | kr 165.47 | -5% |
| LPP SA LPP | 22,220 PLN | 17,754 PLN | -20% |
| Bosideng International Holdings 3998 | HK$4.65 | HK$5.92 | +27% |
| Youngor Fashion Co 600177 | ¥7.78 | ¥5.59 | -28% |
| Page Industries Limited PAGEIND | ₹38,295 | ₹12,395 | -68% |
| Hla Group 600398 | ¥6.07 | ¥9.92 | +63% |
| Youngone Corporation 111770 | 85,200 KRW | 188,736 KRW | +122% |
| F&F Co 383220 | 68,800 KRW | 179,500 KRW | +161% |
| Youngone Holdings 009970 | 188,300 KRW | 697,038 KRW | +270% |
| Wiselink Co 8932 | 105.00 TWD | 37.95 TWD | -64% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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