China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 22, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd stock HK$3.07, price HK$1.04, upside +195.2%, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.6700 – HK$7.47 · fair‑value band HK$2.13 – HK$3.86 · the HK$1.04 price screens below the HK$3.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, and sale of various mechanical transmission equipment in the People's Republic of China, the United States, Europe, and internationally.
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It operates through four segments: Wind and Industrial Gear Transmission Equipment; Rail Transportation Gear Transmission Equipment; Trading Business; and Others.
The company offers mechanical transmission equipment for use in wind power and a range of industrial applications; gear transmission equipment for use in rail transportation fields; and gears, gear boxes, and fittings.
It engages in the trading of bulk commodity and steel industry chain; and provision of services for lighting, municipal landscape, and engineering procurement construction projects.
China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Five Seasons XVI Limited.
Stock analysis
China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658) currently trades at HK$1.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.07, implying the stock looks roughly 66.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$4.84 per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$1.04 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.35, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$2.13 (bear) to HK$3.86 (bull), the price of HK$1.04 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 19.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 20.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was 206M CNY in FY2025, compounding −37.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.7B (≈ $217M) Micro · P/E ratio 3.9 · P/S ratio 0.04 · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7% · Operating margin 10.6% · Revenue (TTM) 17.3B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 195%, 0658 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$2.13Fair Value HK$3.07BullHK$3.86
Price HK$1.04 · Upside +195.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.9% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +1.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−24.5% vs −14.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 8%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 109% above its own trend.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 800 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside+195.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.3% · Above median
Return on assets0.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)2.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)10.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−24.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.53× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0658
Frequently asked questions
Is China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.07 versus a price of HK$1.04, about +195% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0658?
Our model-based fair value for China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd is HK$3.07 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.04.
What is the quality score of 0658?
China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$3.07 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$2.13, optimistic scenario HK$3.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$3.07, about +195% upside versus a price of HK$1.04 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$2.13, optimistic scenario HK$3.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658)?
China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 17.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd it is HK$3.07 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of HK$1.04. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, 0658 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$1.04, fair value HK$3.07, a gap of about +195% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0658?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$3.07). For China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd the two are HK$2.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd at about HK$1.7B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.04; our models calculate a fair value of HK$3.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0658?
Our models span a range for China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$2.13, base HK$3.07, optimistic HK$3.86 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price HK$1.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0658?
China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.9 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$3.07 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 0.2, P/S 0.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 0658?
The PEG ratio of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd is 0.66 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 4, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658)?
Balance-sheet figures for China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 7.3%, debt of 0.53 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0658 from its 52-week high?
China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd trades at HK$1.04, about 58% below its 52-week high of HK$2.50 and 3% above the low of HK$1.01 (as of Oct 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$3.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price HK$1.04, calculated fair value HK$3.07 (+195%), Quality Score 57/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0658 calculated?
We run China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$3.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd currently trades 66 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658)?
The closing price on Oct 22, 2026 was HK$1.04. Our model-based fair value is HK$3.07, about +195% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$2.13). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$2.13 to HK$3.86) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658) come from?
Earnings per share at China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd grew −16.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.3 %, EBIT margin −9.1 %, tax rate −5.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −11.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658)?
The market capitalisation of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd is HK$1.7B (≈ $217M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd is 0.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658)?
The net margin of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd is 1.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658)?
The operating margin of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658)?
Revenue at China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd is growing −24.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658)?
Earnings per share at China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd are growing −69.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658) generate?
The free cash flow of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd is 2.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658) carry?
The net debt of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd is 6.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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