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Data-driven stock valuation

China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$2.1B (≈ $263M) · ISIN KYG2112D1051

At a glance

CH China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd 0658 · HK
PriceHK$1.03
Fair ValueHK$3.83
Upside+271.8%
Quality57/100

A solid business, trading 73% below our fair value of HK$3.83.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd is HK$3.83 per share against a price of HK$1.03, so the fair value sits 272% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +4.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.1% net margin
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
!Narrow moat 31/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 29 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range HK$2.30 to HK$3.84

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −12.7% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$2.30). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$7.47 HK$0.6700 Fair Value HK$3.83 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.6700 – HK$7.47 · fair‑value band HK$2.30 – HK$3.84 · the HK$1.03 price screens below the HK$3.83 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658) currently trades at HK$1.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.83, implying the stock looks roughly 73.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$18.89 per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$1.03 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.15, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$19.7B at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue declined 18.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.2%. Net debt stands at HK$6.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Scenario range: HK$2.30 (bear) to HK$3.84 (bull), the price of HK$1.03 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 272%, 0658 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$17.15 HK$26.42 HK$40.91 77
Owner Earnings HK$2.98 HK$3.22 HK$3.59 76
Growth DCF HK$17.19 HK$26.00 HK$39.46 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$17.15 HK$26.42 HK$40.91 77
Owner Earnings HK$2.98 HK$3.22 HK$3.59 76
5Y Revenue Exit HK$12.98 HK$18.85 HK$26.41 71
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$16.30 HK$25.35 HK$36.22 73
5Y P/E Exit HK$8.84 HK$10.72 HK$12.60 70
10Y Revenue Exit HK$14.09 HK$19.91 HK$27.98 65
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$16.46 HK$24.44 HK$35.63 66
10Y P/E Exit HK$11.72 HK$14.25 HK$17.21 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.8600 HK$3.29 HK$4.47 62
Lynch FV HK$0.8000 HK$1.15 HK$1.49 59
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.8000 HK$1.15 HK$1.49 55
EPV HK$9.49 HK$10.57 HK$11.51 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$1.98 HK$2.64 HK$3.30 63
P/S Multiple HK$1.60 HK$2.14 HK$2.67 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.60 HK$2.14 HK$2.67 55
EV/EBIT HK$14.41 HK$18.34 HK$22.27 66
EV/EBITDA HK$17.26 HK$22.14 HK$27.03 67
EV/Revenue HK$11.03 HK$14.64 HK$18.25 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.59 HK$3.47 HK$5.18 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$17.19 HK$26.00 HK$39.46 75
Rev-Margin DCF HK$12.98 HK$18.89 HK$26.14 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$3.63 HK$3.45 HK$2.74 74
ROIC Compounder HK$10.13 HK$12.16 HK$14.54 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.45 HK$2.08 HK$2.70 65

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$18.89) versus Earnings-Based (HK$1.15). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 8.4 as of Jul 2, 2026
P/S ratio 0.09 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0800 price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.4
Net margin 1.1% FY2025
Return on equity 7.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 6.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$19.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −18.1% 3y avg −3.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −69.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$2.1B FY2025
Net debt HK$6.3B FY2025 · ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, and sale of various mechanical transmission equipment in the People's Republic of China, the United States, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, and sale of various mechanical transmission equipment in the People's Republic of China, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Wind and Industrial Gear Transmission Equipment; Rail Transportation Gear Transmission Equipment; Trading Business; and Others. The company offers mechanical transmission equipment for use in wind power and a range of industrial applications; gear transmission equipment for use in rail transportation fields; and gears, gear boxes, and fittings. It engages in the trading of bulk commodity and steel industry chain; and provision of services for lighting, municipal landscape, and engineering procurement construction projects. China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Five Seasons XVI Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 19.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 20.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was 206M CNY in FY2025, compounding −37.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$19.2B
Latest YoY
−12.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
≈ +1.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+1.7%
Dividend yield0.0%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −24.5% vs 10Y −14.9%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9.0% (2020) → 7.9% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop1,769% (2024) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in HKD
⚠ Final year 2025 sits 109% above trend (one-off), rate on operating basis
Revenue −1.2%/yr
FY21 20.2B CNY
FY22 21.1B CNY
FY23 24.1B CNY
FY24 22.1B CNY
FY25 19.2B CNY
Net income −37.1%/yr
FY21 1.3B CNY
FY22 102M CNY
FY23 95.5M CNY
FY24 −6.6B CNY
FY25 206M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −16.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.3 %

of which total revenue +10.3 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −9.1 %
Tax rate −5.8 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −11.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$3.83 +73%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0658

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 794 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −18% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.53× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.24× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 20
PAST29 · sector 28
HEALTH73 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $962.59 $398.69 −59%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 206.60 kr 112.59 −46%
Cummins Inc CMI $564.40 $348.94 −38%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.12 $145.84 −46%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $152.82 $58.44 −62%
AMETEK, Inc AME $236.25 $125.80 −47%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $417.53 $125.76 −70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.83 versus a price of HK$1.03, about +272% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0658?
Our model-based fair value for China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd is HK$3.83 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.03.
What is the quality score of 0658?
China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$3.83 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$2.30, optimistic scenario HK$3.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$3.83, about +272% upside versus a price of HK$1.03 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$2.30, optimistic scenario HK$3.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd (0658)?
China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$19.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0658?
The net profit margin of China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd is about 1.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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